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icon for Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 25 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 25 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 25 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 25 августа?

авг. 23

авг. 24

авг. 25

авг. 23

авг. 24

авг. 25

20°C or below 86%

30°C or higher 84%

21°C 50%

26°C 30%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

20°C or below 86%

30°C or higher 84%

21°C 50%

26°C 30%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

20°C or below

$5 Объем

86%

21°C

$5 Объем

50%

22°C

$0 Объем

26%

23°C

$0 Объем

26%

24°C

$0 Объем

26%

25°C

$0 Объем

28%

26°C

$0 Объем

30%

27°C

$0 Объем

26%

28°C

$0 Объем

26%

29°C

$5 Объем

2%

30°C or higher

$5 Объем

84%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies in the Sichuan Basin, supporting a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on August 25. Persistent summer moisture and weak steering flow limit sharp drops, while any late-day convection or increased cloud cover could suppress the low by 1–2°C; conversely, clearer breaks would favor readings closer to 26°C. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima of 22–26°C, placing current trader balance between sub-20°C scenarios (requiring stronger cooling than recent guidance) and 30°C-plus outcomes (demanding sustained heat advection atypical for the basin) in roughly equal contention amid model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$20
Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies in the Sichuan Basin, supporting a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on August 25. Persistent summer moisture and weak steering flow limit sharp drops, while any late-day convection or increased cloud cover could suppress the low by 1–2°C; conversely, clearer breaks would favor readings closer to 26°C. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima of 22–26°C, placing current trader balance between sub-20°C scenarios (requiring stronger cooling than recent guidance) and 30°C-plus outcomes (demanding sustained heat advection atypical for the basin) in roughly equal contention amid model spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected within 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$20
Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Связанные

icon for Будет ли минимальная температура в Чэнду 25°C 24 августа?

Будет ли минимальная температура в Чэнду 25°C 24 августа?

45%
Да
icon for Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 25?

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 25?

28%
icon for Будет ли максимальная температура в Чэнду 36°C 24 августа?

Будет ли максимальная температура в Чэнду 36°C 24 августа?

30%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 25 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «20°C or below» с 43%, за ним следует «30°C or higher» с 42%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 43¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 25 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 23, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 25 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 25 августа?» — «20°C or below» с 43%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30°C or higher» с 42%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 25 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.