Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical model consensus indicate overnight minima near 27°C on August 22 amid a warm, moist southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August climatology supports minimums of 26–28°C under similar conditions, with the current setup favoring the upper end of that range. Traders have priced 27°C highest at 41% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 26%, reflecting modest uncertainty around exact boundary-layer moisture and any brief clear spells that could allow slight additional cooling. No significant frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 22 августа?
27°C 42%
26°C 26%
25°C 22%
28°C 13%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
42%
28°C
13%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 26%
25°C 22%
28°C 13%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
42%
28°C
13%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical model consensus indicate overnight minima near 27°C on August 22 amid a warm, moist southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August climatology supports minimums of 26–28°C under similar conditions, with the current setup favoring the upper end of that range. Traders have priced 27°C highest at 41% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 26%, reflecting modest uncertainty around exact boundary-layer moisture and any brief clear spells that could allow slight additional cooling. No significant frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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