Trader consensus remains closely split between a 15°C low (49.5% implied probability) and 12°C or below (45.0%) because official minimum-temperature forecasts for Jinan show a narrow range centered near 17–19°C with uncertainty bands extending several degrees lower. Partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds overnight limit radiative cooling, yet clear patches or calmer conditions could enhance heat loss from the surface, pushing the daily minimum into the mid-teens or below. Model spreads from regional guidance reflect typical early-autumn variability in humidity and boundary-layer mixing, keeping resolution sensitive to the final observed reading before midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Цзинане 12 сентября?
13°C 4%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
12°C или ниже
-
13°C
4%
14°C
<1%
15°C
-
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
13°C 4%
14°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
12°C или ниже
-
13°C
4%
14°C
<1%
15°C
-
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus remains closely split between a 15°C low (49.5% implied probability) and 12°C or below (45.0%) because official minimum-temperature forecasts for Jinan show a narrow range centered near 17–19°C with uncertainty bands extending several degrees lower. Partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds overnight limit radiative cooling, yet clear patches or calmer conditions could enhance heat loss from the surface, pushing the daily minimum into the mid-teens or below. Model spreads from regional guidance reflect typical early-autumn variability in humidity and boundary-layer mixing, keeping resolution sensitive to the final observed reading before midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы