Current forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Karachi on September 11, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, moderate humidity levels around 70-90% overnight, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for 26°C and supports the 39.5% odds on 21°C or below if cloud cover increases or a brief surge of cooler air arrives. Historical September lows average near 26°C, with limited deviation expected absent stronger steering patterns or precipitation. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against model spread in the final 24-48 hours before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Карачи 11 сентября?
21°C или ниже 74%
26°C 65%
31°C или выше 50%
25°C 46%
21°C или ниже
74%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
28%
26°C
54%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
7%
31°C или выше
50%
21°C или ниже 74%
26°C 65%
31°C или выше 50%
25°C 46%
21°C или ниже
74%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
28%
26°C
54%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
7%
31°C или выше
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Karachi on September 11, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow, moderate humidity levels around 70-90% overnight, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for 26°C and supports the 39.5% odds on 21°C or below if cloud cover increases or a brief surge of cooler air arrives. Historical September lows average near 26°C, with limited deviation expected absent stronger steering patterns or precipitation. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against model spread in the final 24-48 hours before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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