Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 24 points to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F. Persistent subtropical moisture, dew points near 75°F, and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while scattered showers or thunderstorms may further moderate temperature drops. Typical August climatology shows average lows near 78–80°F at Miami International Airport, with model spread arising mainly from variable cloud cover and sea-breeze timing rather than any synoptic shift. Traders appear to weigh these factors against the low historical probability of sub-76°F readings absent a rare cool surge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Майами 24 августа?
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 32%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 13%
69°F or below
4%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88°F или выше
3%
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 32%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 13%
69°F or below
4%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88°F или выше
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 24 points to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F. Persistent subtropical moisture, dew points near 75°F, and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while scattered showers or thunderstorms may further moderate temperature drops. Typical August climatology shows average lows near 78–80°F at Miami International Airport, with model spread arising mainly from variable cloud cover and sea-breeze timing rather than any synoptic shift. Traders appear to weigh these factors against the low historical probability of sub-76°F readings absent a rare cool surge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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