Recent model consensus from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 25, with daytime highs near 16–18°C and overnight lows around 12–14°C amid westerly winds and scattered showers. This positions the market near equilibrium between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by several degrees. Clearer skies would enhance nocturnal radiative cooling toward lower thresholds, while persistent clouds, higher winds, or delayed rain reduce that effect and support milder readings closer to climatological norms. Updated ECMWF and local runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 25 августа?
18°C or higher 91%
15°C 52%
16°C 52%
17°C 52%
8°C or below
46%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
52%
16°C
52%
17°C
52%
18°C or higher
91%
18°C or higher 91%
15°C 52%
16°C 52%
17°C 52%
8°C or below
46%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
52%
16°C
52%
17°C
52%
18°C or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and GFS indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 25, with daytime highs near 16–18°C and overnight lows around 12–14°C amid westerly winds and scattered showers. This positions the market near equilibrium between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by several degrees. Clearer skies would enhance nocturnal radiative cooling toward lower thresholds, while persistent clouds, higher winds, or delayed rain reduce that effect and support milder readings closer to climatological norms. Updated ECMWF and local runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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