Recent forecasts from models including GFS and guidance from agencies like the Met Office point to a minimum temperature in Munich of 13–14 °C on August 21, driven by widespread cloud cover, heavy thunderstorms, and northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating and promote nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with the historical average low of 13.6 °C and explain why market-implied probabilities cluster around the 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 9 °C or below captures residual uncertainty from forecast model spread and potential for localized colder pockets during prolonged rain. Traders are monitoring updated runs ahead of the overnight period, when the daily minimum typically occurs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мюнхене 21 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 21 августа?
9°C or below 89%
12°C 34%
13°C 34%
15°C 34%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
89%
10°C
14%
11°C
14%
12°C
34%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
25%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
9°C or below 89%
12°C 34%
13°C 34%
15°C 34%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$92 Объем
89%
10°C
$98 Объем
14%
11°C
$92 Объем
14%
12°C
$0 Объем
34%
13°C
$0 Объем
34%
14°C
$16 Объем
34%
15°C
$0 Объем
34%
16°C
$0 Объем
25%
17°C
$32 Объем
<1%
18°C
$115 Объем
<1%
19°C или выше
$169 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and guidance from agencies like the Met Office point to a minimum temperature in Munich of 13–14 °C on August 21, driven by widespread cloud cover, heavy thunderstorms, and northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating and promote nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with the historical average low of 13.6 °C and explain why market-implied probabilities cluster around the 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 9 °C or below captures residual uncertainty from forecast model spread and potential for localized colder pockets during prolonged rain. Traders are monitoring updated runs ahead of the overnight period, when the daily minimum typically occurs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Объем
$615Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and guidance from agencies like the Met Office point to a minimum temperature in Munich of 13–14 °C on August 21, driven by widespread cloud cover, heavy thunderstorms, and northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating and promote nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with the historical average low of 13.6 °C and explain why market-implied probabilities cluster around the 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 9 °C or below captures residual uncertainty from forecast model spread and potential for localized colder pockets during prolonged rain. Traders are monitoring updated runs ahead of the overnight period, when the daily minimum typically occurs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$615Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and guidance from agencies like the Met Office point to a minimum temperature in Munich of 13–14 °C on August 21, driven by widespread cloud cover, heavy thunderstorms, and northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating and promote nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with the historical average low of 13.6 °C and explain why market-implied probabilities cluster around the 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 9 °C or below captures residual uncertainty from forecast model spread and potential for localized colder pockets during prolonged rain. Traders are monitoring updated runs ahead of the overnight period, when the daily minimum typically occurs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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