Trader consensus around a 70-71°F low for New York City on August 4 reflects National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing typical early-August overnight conditions with high humidity, light southerly flow, and limited radiative cooling at LaGuardia Airport. Seasonal baselines place normal minima near 68-72°F, and recent model runs converged on this narrow band without signals for a cold front or clear-sky enhancement that would allow greater heat loss. Urban heat island effects further anchor readings in the low 70s. A realistic shift could occur only if post-sunset skies cleared rapidly or an unforecast marine layer strengthened, potentially trimming the low by a degree or two before official verification closes the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 4 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 4 августа?
70-71°F 99.0%
68-69°F 1.2%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$14,910 Объем
$14,910 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
99%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 99.0%
68-69°F 1.2%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$14,910 Объем
$14,910 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
59°F or below
$469 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$409 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$810 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$1,126 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$1,334 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$3,074 Объем
1%
70-71°F
$1,466 Объем
99%
72-73°F
$3,055 Объем
<1%
74-75°F
$1,965 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$778 Объем
<1%
78°F or higher
$424 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around a 70-71°F low for New York City on August 4 reflects National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing typical early-August overnight conditions with high humidity, light southerly flow, and limited radiative cooling at LaGuardia Airport. Seasonal baselines place normal minima near 68-72°F, and recent model runs converged on this narrow band without signals for a cold front or clear-sky enhancement that would allow greater heat loss. Urban heat island effects further anchor readings in the low 70s. A realistic shift could occur only if post-sunset skies cleared rapidly or an unforecast marine layer strengthened, potentially trimming the low by a degree or two before official verification closes the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Объем
$14,910Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around a 70-71°F low for New York City on August 4 reflects National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing typical early-August overnight conditions with high humidity, light southerly flow, and limited radiative cooling at LaGuardia Airport. Seasonal baselines place normal minima near 68-72°F, and recent model runs converged on this narrow band without signals for a cold front or clear-sky enhancement that would allow greater heat loss. Urban heat island effects further anchor readings in the low 70s. A realistic shift could occur only if post-sunset skies cleared rapidly or an unforecast marine layer strengthened, potentially trimming the low by a degree or two before official verification closes the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$14,910Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around a 70-71°F low for New York City on August 4 reflects National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing typical early-August overnight conditions with high humidity, light southerly flow, and limited radiative cooling at LaGuardia Airport. Seasonal baselines place normal minima near 68-72°F, and recent model runs converged on this narrow band without signals for a cold front or clear-sky enhancement that would allow greater heat loss. Urban heat island effects further anchor readings in the low 70s. A realistic shift could occur only if post-sunset skies cleared rapidly or an unforecast marine layer strengthened, potentially trimming the low by a degree or two before official verification closes the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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