Current forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate a persistent warm air mass over northern France, with light winds and limited nocturnal radiative cooling expected to hold the Paris minimum near 21–22°C on August 14 amid an ongoing heatwave. High-pressure dominance and clear to partly cloudy conditions support this range, consistent with recent model runs showing overnight lows around 20°C, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could push values higher. Trader consensus clustering on 21°C reflects these outputs but acknowledges uncertainty from urban heat-island effects and potential model divergence in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 14 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 14 августа?
21°C 38%
22°C 30%
23°C 19%
20°C или ниже 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
12%
21°C
38%
22°C
30%
23°C
19%
24°C
6%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
21°C 38%
22°C 30%
23°C 19%
20°C или ниже 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$120 Объем
12%
21°C
$797 Объем
38%
22°C
$125 Объем
30%
23°C
$76 Объем
19%
24°C
$83 Объем
6%
25°C
$438 Объем
2%
26°C
$165 Объем
1%
27°C
$200 Объем
1%
28°C
$72 Объем
<1%
29°C
$72 Объем
<1%
30°C или выше
$82 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate a persistent warm air mass over northern France, with light winds and limited nocturnal radiative cooling expected to hold the Paris minimum near 21–22°C on August 14 amid an ongoing heatwave. High-pressure dominance and clear to partly cloudy conditions support this range, consistent with recent model runs showing overnight lows around 20°C, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could push values higher. Trader consensus clustering on 21°C reflects these outputs but acknowledges uncertainty from urban heat-island effects and potential model divergence in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Объем
$2,229Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate a persistent warm air mass over northern France, with light winds and limited nocturnal radiative cooling expected to hold the Paris minimum near 21–22°C on August 14 amid an ongoing heatwave. High-pressure dominance and clear to partly cloudy conditions support this range, consistent with recent model runs showing overnight lows around 20°C, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could push values higher. Trader consensus clustering on 21°C reflects these outputs but acknowledges uncertainty from urban heat-island effects and potential model divergence in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,229Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate a persistent warm air mass over northern France, with light winds and limited nocturnal radiative cooling expected to hold the Paris minimum near 21–22°C on August 14 amid an ongoing heatwave. High-pressure dominance and clear to partly cloudy conditions support this range, consistent with recent model runs showing overnight lows around 20°C, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could push values higher. Trader consensus clustering on 21°C reflects these outputs but acknowledges uncertainty from urban heat-island effects and potential model divergence in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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