Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate partly cloudy skies and persistent northerly winds over Qingdao on September 9, 2026, promoting overnight radiative cooling from a dry continental air mass. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering near 17–18°C, aligning with the market's tightest probabilities on those outcomes. Key variables include exact cloud cover timing, which could trap heat and raise the low by 1–2°C, versus clearer conditions or stronger winds enhancing cooling toward 16°C. Historical September averages near 18°C provide baseline context, but the current stable high-pressure pattern and lack of southerly moisture advection support the observed trader consensus around the mid-teens. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Циндао 9 сентября?
17°C 36%
18°C 33%
16°C 28%
15°C 24%
14°C или ниже
16%
15°C
24%
16°C
28%
17°C
36%
18°C
33%
19°C
24%
20°C
18%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C или выше
8%
17°C 36%
18°C 33%
16°C 28%
15°C 24%
14°C или ниже
16%
15°C
24%
16°C
28%
17°C
36%
18°C
33%
19°C
24%
20°C
18%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C или выше
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate partly cloudy skies and persistent northerly winds over Qingdao on September 9, 2026, promoting overnight radiative cooling from a dry continental air mass. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering near 17–18°C, aligning with the market's tightest probabilities on those outcomes. Key variables include exact cloud cover timing, which could trap heat and raise the low by 1–2°C, versus clearer conditions or stronger winds enhancing cooling toward 16°C. Historical September averages near 18°C provide baseline context, but the current stable high-pressure pattern and lack of southerly moisture advection support the observed trader consensus around the mid-teens. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы