**Official KMA forecasts project a 24°C minimum at Incheon on August 25 under mostly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of precipitation, amid a broader late-summer pattern of gradually declining overnight lows.** Recent station readings, including the confirmed 25°C minimum on August 20, support trader clustering around 25–26°C (combined ~85% implied probability), as models incorporate modest uncertainty from cloud thickness affecting radiative cooling and urban heat-island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 23–25°C this time of year, with no major synoptic systems expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Upcoming KMA updates and any shifts in humidity or wind patterns could refine these market-implied odds ahead of the 25th.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 25 августа?
26°C 41%
25°C 35%
24°C 14%
27°C 14%
21°C или ниже
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
14%
25°C
35%
26°C
41%
27°C
14%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C или выше
3%
26°C 41%
25°C 35%
24°C 14%
27°C 14%
21°C или ниже
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
14%
25°C
35%
26°C
41%
27°C
14%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C или выше
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official KMA forecasts project a 24°C minimum at Incheon on August 25 under mostly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of precipitation, amid a broader late-summer pattern of gradually declining overnight lows.** Recent station readings, including the confirmed 25°C minimum on August 20, support trader clustering around 25–26°C (combined ~85% implied probability), as models incorporate modest uncertainty from cloud thickness affecting radiative cooling and urban heat-island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 23–25°C this time of year, with no major synoptic systems expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Upcoming KMA updates and any shifts in humidity or wind patterns could refine these market-implied odds ahead of the 25th.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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