**Trader consensus heavily favors a 16°C low for Seoul on June 11, 2026, at 97.9% implied probability.** Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts explicitly project a daily minimum of 16°C, consistent with AccuWeather’s June climatology showing overnight lows centered near 15–20°C during early summer conditions before the monsoon. Official resolution uses the lowest temperature recorded at the designated station (typically Incheon International Airport), aligning with model guidance under stable high-pressure influence and typical diurnal ranges. The narrow distribution of alternative outcomes reflects limited forecast uncertainty this close to resolution. A measurable shift would require an unforecasted nocturnal cooling event or station-specific anomaly exceeding model spread, though current observations and ensemble consensus indicate such deviations remain improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле 11 июня?
16°C 97.8%
15°C 2.1%
14°C <1%
11°C или ниже <1%
$31,851 Объем
$31,851 Объем
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C или выше
<1%
16°C 97.8%
15°C 2.1%
14°C <1%
11°C или ниже <1%
$31,851 Объем
$31,851 Объем
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 16°C low for Seoul on June 11, 2026, at 97.9% implied probability.** Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts explicitly project a daily minimum of 16°C, consistent with AccuWeather’s June climatology showing overnight lows centered near 15–20°C during early summer conditions before the monsoon. Official resolution uses the lowest temperature recorded at the designated station (typically Incheon International Airport), aligning with model guidance under stable high-pressure influence and typical diurnal ranges. The narrow distribution of alternative outcomes reflects limited forecast uncertainty this close to resolution. A measurable shift would require an unforecasted nocturnal cooling event or station-specific anomaly exceeding model spread, though current observations and ensemble consensus indicate such deviations remain improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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