Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity expected through August 25. These factors moderate overnight cooling, keeping minimum temperatures clustered around 26–28°C as cloud cover traps heat and rain enhances evaporative effects. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 24–26°C options leading due to slight model spread on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Historical August baselines near 26°C provide context, while urban heat island influences and dew points above 24°C limit downside risk below 24°C absent an atypical cold surge. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from current consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 25 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 25 августа?
33°C or higher 48%
30°C 46%
32°C 46%
26°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
2%
24°C
27%
25°C
24%
26°C
28%
27°C
15%
28°C
25%
29°C
22%
30°C
46%
31°C
1%
32°C
46%
33°C or higher
48%
33°C or higher 48%
30°C 46%
32°C 46%
26°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$210 Объем
2%
24°C
$0 Объем
27%
25°C
$0 Объем
24%
26°C
$0 Объем
28%
27°C
$0 Объем
15%
28°C
$0 Объем
25%
29°C
$0 Объем
22%
30°C
$5 Объем
46%
31°C
$5 Объем
1%
32°C
$5 Объем
46%
33°C or higher
$5 Объем
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity expected through August 25. These factors moderate overnight cooling, keeping minimum temperatures clustered around 26–28°C as cloud cover traps heat and rain enhances evaporative effects. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 24–26°C options leading due to slight model spread on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Historical August baselines near 26°C provide context, while urban heat island influences and dew points above 24°C limit downside risk below 24°C absent an atypical cold surge. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$230Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity expected through August 25. These factors moderate overnight cooling, keeping minimum temperatures clustered around 26–28°C as cloud cover traps heat and rain enhances evaporative effects. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 24–26°C options leading due to slight model spread on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Historical August baselines near 26°C provide context, while urban heat island influences and dew points above 24°C limit downside risk below 24°C absent an atypical cold surge. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$230Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Shenzhen under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity expected through August 25. These factors moderate overnight cooling, keeping minimum temperatures clustered around 26–28°C as cloud cover traps heat and rain enhances evaporative effects. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range, with 24–26°C options leading due to slight model spread on precipitation timing and wind patterns. Historical August baselines near 26°C provide context, while urban heat island influences and dew points above 24°C limit downside risk below 24°C absent an atypical cold surge. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from current consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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