The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo on June 11 projects a minimum temperature of 18°C, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C and driving the market's 99.6% implied probability for that outcome. Recent model runs and observational data indicate stable atmospheric conditions with limited overnight variability, typical for early June in the Kanto region under the influence of the advancing rainy season. Traders view the official short-term guidance as highly reliable given narrow uncertainty ranges in temperature forecasts. Only substantial deviations in station measurements—such as localized urban heat island effects or an unexpected frontal passage—could realistically shift the recorded low away from 18°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 11 июня?
18°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,163 Объем
$21,163 Объем
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
18°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,163 Объем
$21,163 Объем
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo on June 11 projects a minimum temperature of 18°C, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C and driving the market's 99.6% implied probability for that outcome. Recent model runs and observational data indicate stable atmospheric conditions with limited overnight variability, typical for early June in the Kanto region under the influence of the advancing rainy season. Traders view the official short-term guidance as highly reliable given narrow uncertainty ranges in temperature forecasts. Only substantial deviations in station measurements—such as localized urban heat island effects or an unexpected frontal passage—could realistically shift the recorded low away from 18°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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