Current forecast models from Environment Canada and NOAA show substantial uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Toronto on August 22, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities around 16–19 °C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates longwave heat loss, boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that influence mixing, and the strength of an incoming high-pressure ridge. Latest model runs diverge on whether clear skies will allow the mercury to dip to 17 °C or remain near 19 °C, while probabilities below 15 °C stay low due to climatological August minima near 16 °C. Updated model guidance and surface observations expected overnight will likely refine the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Торонто 22 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Торонто 22 августа?
18°C 31%
19°C или выше 29%
17°C 28%
16°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 авг. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
10%
15°C
11%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
31%
19°C или выше
29%
18°C 31%
19°C или выше 29%
17°C 28%
16°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 авг. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$32 Объем
1%
10°C
$22 Объем
1%
11°C
$22 Объем
1%
12°C
$22 Объем
1%
13°C
$22 Объем
1%
14°C
$39 Объем
10%
15°C
$35 Объем
11%
16°C
$0 Объем
27%
17°C
$0 Объем
28%
18°C
$0 Объем
31%
19°C или выше
$0 Объем
29%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Environment Canada and NOAA show substantial uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Toronto on August 22, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities around 16–19 °C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates longwave heat loss, boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that influence mixing, and the strength of an incoming high-pressure ridge. Latest model runs diverge on whether clear skies will allow the mercury to dip to 17 °C or remain near 19 °C, while probabilities below 15 °C stay low due to climatological August minima near 16 °C. Updated model guidance and surface observations expected overnight will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Объем
$193Дата окончания
22 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Environment Canada and NOAA show substantial uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Toronto on August 22, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities around 16–19 °C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates longwave heat loss, boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that influence mixing, and the strength of an incoming high-pressure ridge. Latest model runs diverge on whether clear skies will allow the mercury to dip to 17 °C or remain near 19 °C, while probabilities below 15 °C stay low due to climatological August minima near 16 °C. Updated model guidance and surface observations expected overnight will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$193Дата окончания
22 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Environment Canada and NOAA show substantial uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Toronto on August 22, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities around 16–19 °C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that modulates longwave heat loss, boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that influence mixing, and the strength of an incoming high-pressure ridge. Latest model runs diverge on whether clear skies will allow the mercury to dip to 17 °C or remain near 19 °C, while probabilities below 15 °C stay low due to climatological August minima near 16 °C. Updated model guidance and surface observations expected overnight will likely refine the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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