Official forecasts from agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily minimum of 26°C for Wuhan on August 21 under overcast skies and light northerly winds, aligning with the market's 64% implied probability for that outcome. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent summer humidity near 80% and typical late-August atmospheric stability limit nighttime radiational cooling, keeping lows clustered around the 25–27°C historical baseline rather than dropping further. Recent model runs show no incoming fronts or clear-sky periods that would enable greater cooling to 24°C or below, while trader consensus on Polymarket aggregates real-capital assessments of these meteorological conditions and any last-minute forecast revisions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 21 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Ухане 21 августа?
24°C 59%
25°C 31%
23°C 18%
22°C или ниже <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
18%
24°C
59%
25°C
31%
26°C
64%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
24°C 59%
25°C 31%
23°C 18%
22°C или ниже <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$177 Объем
1%
23°C
$144 Объем
18%
24°C
$144 Объем
59%
25°C
$75 Объем
31%
26°C
$163 Объем
64%
27°C
$153 Объем
<1%
28°C
$205 Объем
<1%
29°C
$25 Объем
<1%
30°C
$95 Объем
<1%
31°C
$95 Объем
<1%
32°C или выше
$95 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily minimum of 26°C for Wuhan on August 21 under overcast skies and light northerly winds, aligning with the market's 64% implied probability for that outcome. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent summer humidity near 80% and typical late-August atmospheric stability limit nighttime radiational cooling, keeping lows clustered around the 25–27°C historical baseline rather than dropping further. Recent model runs show no incoming fronts or clear-sky periods that would enable greater cooling to 24°C or below, while trader consensus on Polymarket aggregates real-capital assessments of these meteorological conditions and any last-minute forecast revisions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Объем
$1,372Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily minimum of 26°C for Wuhan on August 21 under overcast skies and light northerly winds, aligning with the market's 64% implied probability for that outcome. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent summer humidity near 80% and typical late-August atmospheric stability limit nighttime radiational cooling, keeping lows clustered around the 25–27°C historical baseline rather than dropping further. Recent model runs show no incoming fronts or clear-sky periods that would enable greater cooling to 24°C or below, while trader consensus on Polymarket aggregates real-capital assessments of these meteorological conditions and any last-minute forecast revisions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,372Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from agencies such as the Hong Kong Observatory project a daily minimum of 26°C for Wuhan on August 21 under overcast skies and light northerly winds, aligning with the market's 64% implied probability for that outcome. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, persistent summer humidity near 80% and typical late-August atmospheric stability limit nighttime radiational cooling, keeping lows clustered around the 25–27°C historical baseline rather than dropping further. Recent model runs show no incoming fronts or clear-sky periods that would enable greater cooling to 24°C or below, while trader consensus on Polymarket aggregates real-capital assessments of these meteorological conditions and any last-minute forecast revisions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы