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Политика·Основные выборы

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
Политика·Основные выборы

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 62%

Robert Kenyon 30%

James Thomas Bryer 1.1%

Maria Deery <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$27,153 Объем

Andy Burnham 62%

Robert Kenyon 30%

James Thomas Bryer 1.1%

Maria Deery <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$27,153 Объем

Andy Burnham

$13,477 Объем

62%

Robert Kenyon

$9,891 Объем

30%

James Thomas Bryer

$297 Объем

1%

Maria Deery

$1,165 Объем

1%

John Skipworth

$1,034 Объем

1%

Simon Finkelstein

$1,289 Объем

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 61.5 percent because Labour’s National Executive Committee cleared him on 15 May to contest the seat vacated by outgoing MP Josh Simons, who resigned days earlier specifically to enable Burnham’s return to Westminster. The Greater Manchester mayor’s established regional profile and party organisation give him the strongest path to victory in this traditionally Labour constituency ahead of the expected 18 June poll. Robert Kenyon trails at 30.5 percent as Reform UK’s candidate, reflecting the party’s strong second-place finish in 2024 and its sweep of every ward in the constituency during recent local elections. Minor candidates remain priced below 2 percent each, underscoring the two-way contest between Burnham’s selection prospects and Reform’s local momentum.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Объем
$27,153
Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 61.5 percent because Labour’s National Executive Committee cleared him on 15 May to contest the seat vacated by outgoing MP Josh Simons, who resigned days earlier specifically to enable Burnham’s return to Westminster. The Greater Manchester mayor’s established regional profile and party organisation give him the strongest path to victory in this traditionally Labour constituency ahead of the expected 18 June poll. Robert Kenyon trails at 30.5 percent as Reform UK’s candidate, reflecting the party’s strong second-place finish in 2024 and its sweep of every ward in the constituency during recent local elections. Minor candidates remain priced below 2 percent each, underscoring the two-way contest between Burnham’s selection prospects and Reform’s local momentum.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Объем
$27,153
Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Makerfield by-election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Andy Burnham» с 62%, за ним следует «Robert Kenyon» с 30%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 62¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Makerfield by-election Winner» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $27.2K с момента запуска рынка May 14, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Makerfield by-election Winner», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Makerfield by-election Winner» — «Andy Burnham» с 62%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Robert Kenyon» с 30%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Makerfield by-election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.