Andy Burnham's pursuit of the Makerfield seat, cleared by Labour's National Executive Committee on 15 May following Josh Simons's resignation to enable a leadership challenge, anchors the current trader consensus. The by-election, set for 18 June, pits Burnham against Reform UK's Robert Kenyon in a constituency where Reform secured strong local election results across wards just days earlier. This dynamic reflects voter shifts in Greater Manchester, with Kenyon positioned as a viable challenger despite Labour's traditional majority. Selection confirmation on 21 May and any further campaign momentum from Burnham or Reform could still influence the final outcome in this tightly watched contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMakerfield by-election Winner
Andy Burnham 64%
Robert Kenyon 32%
Maria Deery <1%
James Thomas Bryer <1%
$19,968 Объем
$19,968 Объем
Andy Burnham
64%
Robert Kenyon
32%
Maria Deery
1%
James Thomas Bryer
1%
John Skipworth
1%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Andy Burnham 64%
Robert Kenyon 32%
Maria Deery <1%
James Thomas Bryer <1%
$19,968 Объем
$19,968 Объем
Andy Burnham
64%
Robert Kenyon
32%
Maria Deery
1%
James Thomas Bryer
1%
John Skipworth
1%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andy Burnham's pursuit of the Makerfield seat, cleared by Labour's National Executive Committee on 15 May following Josh Simons's resignation to enable a leadership challenge, anchors the current trader consensus. The by-election, set for 18 June, pits Burnham against Reform UK's Robert Kenyon in a constituency where Reform secured strong local election results across wards just days earlier. This dynamic reflects voter shifts in Greater Manchester, with Kenyon positioned as a viable challenger despite Labour's traditional majority. Selection confirmation on 21 May and any further campaign momentum from Burnham or Reform could still influence the final outcome in this tightly watched contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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