Recent April CPI data, which accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year versus expectations near 3.7%, combined with sustained energy price pressures from geopolitical supply shocks, has lifted near-term inflation expectations and produced closely matched Polymarket odds favoring 0.5% or 0.6% month-over-month for May. Traders weigh the potential for continued gasoline and shelter contributions against moderating core trends and possible easing in used-vehicle prices. The June 10 release remains the key catalyst, with outcomes hinging on whether the energy impulse broadens or remains contained within headline components.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0.6% 42%
0.5% 36%
0.4% 14%
0.3% 9.8%
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
8%
0.3%
11%
0.4%
14%
0.5%
36%
0.6%
35%
0.7%
8%
0.8%
4%
≥0.9%
7%
0.6% 42%
0.5% 36%
0.4% 14%
0.3% 9.8%
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
8%
0.3%
11%
0.4%
14%
0.5%
36%
0.6%
35%
0.7%
8%
0.8%
4%
≥0.9%
7%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data, which accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year versus expectations near 3.7%, combined with sustained energy price pressures from geopolitical supply shocks, has lifted near-term inflation expectations and produced closely matched Polymarket odds favoring 0.5% or 0.6% month-over-month for May. Traders weigh the potential for continued gasoline and shelter contributions against moderating core trends and possible easing in used-vehicle prices. The June 10 release remains the key catalyst, with outcomes hinging on whether the energy impulse broadens or remains contained within headline components.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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