Recent April CPI data showed a 0.6% month-over-month increase, easing from March's 0.9% but lifting the annual rate to 3.8% amid energy price spikes tied to geopolitical tensions. This outcome anchors trader positioning, with 0.5% and 0.6% outcomes trading near parity as markets weigh potential moderation in gasoline costs against sticky shelter and services inflation. Core measures rose 0.4% last month, above consensus, while base effects and seasonal factors introduce volatility for May. The May release, due June 10, will clarify whether the recent surge proves transitory or signals broader persistence, shaping near-term monetary policy expectations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0.6% 42%
0.5% 35%
0.4% 14%
0.7% 9%
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
6%
0.3%
9%
0.4%
14%
0.5%
35%
0.6%
39%
0.7%
9%
0.8%
5%
≥0.9%
8%
0.6% 42%
0.5% 35%
0.4% 14%
0.7% 9%
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
6%
0.3%
9%
0.4%
14%
0.5%
35%
0.6%
39%
0.7%
9%
0.8%
5%
≥0.9%
8%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data showed a 0.6% month-over-month increase, easing from March's 0.9% but lifting the annual rate to 3.8% amid energy price spikes tied to geopolitical tensions. This outcome anchors trader positioning, with 0.5% and 0.6% outcomes trading near parity as markets weigh potential moderation in gasoline costs against sticky shelter and services inflation. Core measures rose 0.4% last month, above consensus, while base effects and seasonal factors introduce volatility for May. The May release, due June 10, will clarify whether the recent surge proves transitory or signals broader persistence, shaping near-term monetary policy expectations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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