Recent Q2 2026 GDP data showing a 1.5% quarter-over-quarter rebound from a prior contraction has anchored trader sentiment around moderate expansion for Q3, with the 1.5-2.0% and 1.0-1.5% brackets commanding the highest market-implied odds. Weak domestic demand, subdued investment, and persistent uncertainty tied to trade and U.S. policy continue to cap upside, aligning with consensus full-year 2026 forecasts clustered near 1.2-1.8%. Low unemployment near 2.9% and inflation at 3.1% support consumption, yet Banxico’s steady 6.5% policy rate signals caution on growth risks. Key upcoming releases on industrial production, retail sales, and the next INEGI report will likely determine whether momentum persists or moderates toward the lower end of the distribution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1.5-2.0% 34%
1.0-1.5% 29%
2.0-2.5% 25%
2.5-3.0% 12%
$12,342 Объем
$12,342 Объем
30 окт. 2026 г.
<0.5%
5%
0.5-1.0%
4%
1.0-1.5%
29%
1.5-2.0%
34%
2.0-2.5%
25%
2.5-3.0%
12%
3.0-3.5%
3%
3.5%+
<1%
1.5-2.0% 34%
1.0-1.5% 29%
2.0-2.5% 25%
2.5-3.0% 12%
$12,342 Объем
$12,342 Объем
30 окт. 2026 г.
<0.5%
$256 Объем
5%
0.5-1.0%
$193 Объем
4%
1.0-1.5%
$2,231 Объем
29%
1.5-2.0%
$2,335 Объем
34%
2.0-2.5%
$6,513 Объем
25%
2.5-3.0%
$364 Объем
12%
3.0-3.5%
$248 Объем
3%
3.5%+
$203 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP data showing a 1.5% quarter-over-quarter rebound from a prior contraction has anchored trader sentiment around moderate expansion for Q3, with the 1.5-2.0% and 1.0-1.5% brackets commanding the highest market-implied odds. Weak domestic demand, subdued investment, and persistent uncertainty tied to trade and U.S. policy continue to cap upside, aligning with consensus full-year 2026 forecasts clustered near 1.2-1.8%. Low unemployment near 2.9% and inflation at 3.1% support consumption, yet Banxico’s steady 6.5% policy rate signals caution on growth risks. Key upcoming releases on industrial production, retail sales, and the next INEGI report will likely determine whether momentum persists or moderates toward the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Объем
$12,342Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP data showing a 1.5% quarter-over-quarter rebound from a prior contraction has anchored trader sentiment around moderate expansion for Q3, with the 1.5-2.0% and 1.0-1.5% brackets commanding the highest market-implied odds. Weak domestic demand, subdued investment, and persistent uncertainty tied to trade and U.S. policy continue to cap upside, aligning with consensus full-year 2026 forecasts clustered near 1.2-1.8%. Low unemployment near 2.9% and inflation at 3.1% support consumption, yet Banxico’s steady 6.5% policy rate signals caution on growth risks. Key upcoming releases on industrial production, retail sales, and the next INEGI report will likely determine whether momentum persists or moderates toward the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$12,342Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 GDP data showing a 1.5% quarter-over-quarter rebound from a prior contraction has anchored trader sentiment around moderate expansion for Q3, with the 1.5-2.0% and 1.0-1.5% brackets commanding the highest market-implied odds. Weak domestic demand, subdued investment, and persistent uncertainty tied to trade and U.S. policy continue to cap upside, aligning with consensus full-year 2026 forecasts clustered near 1.2-1.8%. Low unemployment near 2.9% and inflation at 3.1% support consumption, yet Banxico’s steady 6.5% policy rate signals caution on growth risks. Key upcoming releases on industrial production, retail sales, and the next INEGI report will likely determine whether momentum persists or moderates toward the lower end of the distribution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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