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Политика·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Политика·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Сильвия Салис 17.8%

Elly Schlein 17%

Анджело Бонелли 10.7%

Polymarket

$14,540 Объем

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Сильвия Салис 17.8%

Elly Schlein 17%

Анджело Бонелли 10.7%

Polymarket

$14,540 Объем

Giorgia Meloni

$3,482 Объем

43%

Elly Schlein

$712 Объем

17%

Giuseppe Conte

$984 Объем

9%

Antonio Tajani

$943 Объем

3%

Matteo Salvini

$1,264 Объем

3%

Guido Crosetto

$645 Объем

2%

Mario Draghi

$483 Объем

5%

Сильвия Салис

$2,127 Объем

18%

Роберто Ванначчи

$2,133 Объем

8%

Маттео Ренци

$417 Объем

3%

Анджело Бонелли

$748 Объем

11%

Карло Календа

$602 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Italy's center-right coalition, anchored by Giorgia Meloni's Brothers of Italy party, maintains a polling lead near 44 percent ahead of the 2027 general election, supporting her position as the frontrunner in trader assessments. The March 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reforms, interpreted as a de facto confidence vote, delivered the government's first notable setback and elevated opposition visibility. This has lifted figures such as Democratic Party leader Elly Schlein and potential center-left challengers like Silvia Salis, while coalition partners including Matteo Salvini and Antonio Tajani face internal pressures over electoral law changes. Historical patterns of Italian coalition fragility and upcoming parliamentary deadlines continue to shape probabilities, with no immediate catalyst shifting the current distribution.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$14,540
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2028 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Italy's center-right coalition, anchored by Giorgia Meloni's Brothers of Italy party, maintains a polling lead near 44 percent ahead of the 2027 general election, supporting her position as the frontrunner in trader assessments. The March 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reforms, interpreted as a de facto confidence vote, delivered the government's first notable setback and elevated opposition visibility. This has lifted figures such as Democratic Party leader Elly Schlein and potential center-left challengers like Silvia Salis, while coalition partners including Matteo Salvini and Antonio Tajani face internal pressures over electoral law changes. Historical patterns of Italian coalition fragility and upcoming parliamentary deadlines continue to shape probabilities, with no immediate catalyst shifting the current distribution.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$14,540
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2028 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next Prime Minister of Italy?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 12 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Giorgia Meloni» с 43%, за ним следует «Сильвия Салис» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 43¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next Prime Minister of Italy?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $14.5K с момента запуска рынка Apr 21, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next Prime Minister of Italy?», просмотри 12 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next Prime Minister of Italy?» — «Giorgia Meloni» с 43%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Сильвия Салис» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next Prime Minister of Italy?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.