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Politics·Chancellor

Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

icon for Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?
Politics·Chancellor

Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

Ed Miliband 61%

Shabana Mahmood 11.3%

Wes Streeting 8.6%

Yvette Cooper 7.8%

Polymarket

$415,891 Объем

Ed Miliband 61%

Shabana Mahmood 11.3%

Wes Streeting 8.6%

Yvette Cooper 7.8%

Polymarket

$415,891 Объем

icon for Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

$99,228 Объем

61%

icon for Shabana Mahmood

Shabana Mahmood

$89,792 Объем

11%

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$92,242 Объем

9%

icon for Yvette Cooper

Yvette Cooper

$48,450 Объем

8%

icon for Pat McFadden

Pat McFadden

$24,702 Объем

3%

icon for John Healey

John Healey

$11,432 Объем

1%

icon for Torsten Bell

Torsten Bell

$13,384 Объем

1%

icon for Darren Jones

Darren Jones

$16,360 Объем

1%

icon for No next Chancellor in 2026

No next Chancellor in 2026

$20,302 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$415,891
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 21, 2026, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$415,891
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 21, 2026, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ed Miliband» с 61%, за ним следует «Shabana Mahmood» с 11%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 61¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $415.9K с момента запуска рынка Jun 21, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?» — «Ed Miliband» с 61%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Shabana Mahmood» с 11%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.