With the field for the 2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar still wide open in August 2026, trader sentiment reflects an unusually fragmented market where Anne Hathaway holds the highest implied probability at 42.5% while Penélope Cruz sits at 13% and a long list of contenders trail below 8%. Early positioning stems from Hathaway’s proven awards pedigree and upcoming high-profile projects, contrasted with Cruz’s strong critical track record and international appeal. The close clustering of dozens of names near 50% underscores how little 2026 release data, guild buzz, or precursor momentum has emerged yet, leaving room for late-breaking performances, festival premieres, and campaign narratives to reshape odds ahead of nomination voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Оскар-2027»: лучшая актриса второго плана
Энн Хэтэуэй 43%
Пенелопа Крус 13%
Бетти Гилпин 7%
Зендея 7%

Энн Хэтэуэй
43%

Пенелопа Крус
13%

Бетти Гилпин
7%

Зендея
7%

Сандра Хюллер
6%

Тао Окамото
5%

Паркер Поузи
5%

Изабелла Росселлини
5%

Мариана ди Джироламо
5%

Маргарет Куэлли
5%

Инде Наварретте
5%

Дэниэль Дэдуайлер
5%

Джемма Чан
4%
Энн Хэтэуэй 43%
Пенелопа Крус 13%
Бетти Гилпин 7%
Зендея 7%

Энн Хэтэуэй
43%

Пенелопа Крус
13%

Бетти Гилпин
7%

Зендея
7%

Сандра Хюллер
6%

Тао Окамото
5%

Паркер Поузи
5%

Изабелла Росселлини
5%

Мариана ди Джироламо
5%

Маргарет Куэлли
5%

Инде Наварретте
5%

Дэниэль Дэдуайлер
5%

Джемма Чан
4%
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the field for the 2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar still wide open in August 2026, trader sentiment reflects an unusually fragmented market where Anne Hathaway holds the highest implied probability at 42.5% while Penélope Cruz sits at 13% and a long list of contenders trail below 8%. Early positioning stems from Hathaway’s proven awards pedigree and upcoming high-profile projects, contrasted with Cruz’s strong critical track record and international appeal. The close clustering of dozens of names near 50% underscores how little 2026 release data, guild buzz, or precursor momentum has emerged yet, leaving room for late-breaking performances, festival premieres, and campaign narratives to reshape odds ahead of nomination voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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