The AfD secured 43.8% of the vote in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, more than doubling its 2021 share and finishing well ahead of the CDU at 17.2%. Consistent pre-election polling from institutes including INSA, Infratest dimap, and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen placed the party in the low-to-mid 40s throughout the summer, reflecting sustained support in the eastern state amid the collapse of the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. High turnout near 78% and the AfD's positioning on immigration, economic concerns, and regional issues consolidated its lead. The result aligned with trader consensus in the 42-45% range, though the party fell three seats short of an outright majority; other parties clearing or missing the 5% threshold could have altered coalition math but did not shift the AfD's vote share materially.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено42–45% 100.0%
<39% <1%
39-42% <1%
45%+ <1%
$374,554 Объем
$374,554 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
<39%
Нет
39-42%
Нет
42–45%
Да
45%+
Нет
42–45% 100.0%
<39% <1%
39-42% <1%
45%+ <1%
$374,554 Объем
$374,554 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
<39%
$116,607 Объем
Нет
39-42%
$56,041 Объем
Нет
42–45%
$123,466 Объем
Да
45%+
$78,440 Объем
Нет
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The AfD secured 43.8% of the vote in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, more than doubling its 2021 share and finishing well ahead of the CDU at 17.2%. Consistent pre-election polling from institutes including INSA, Infratest dimap, and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen placed the party in the low-to-mid 40s throughout the summer, reflecting sustained support in the eastern state amid the collapse of the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. High turnout near 78% and the AfD's positioning on immigration, economic concerns, and regional issues consolidated its lead. The result aligned with trader consensus in the 42-45% range, though the party fell three seats short of an outright majority; other parties clearing or missing the 5% threshold could have altered coalition math but did not shift the AfD's vote share materially.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Объем
$374,554Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The AfD secured 43.8% of the vote in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, more than doubling its 2021 share and finishing well ahead of the CDU at 17.2%. Consistent pre-election polling from institutes including INSA, Infratest dimap, and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen placed the party in the low-to-mid 40s throughout the summer, reflecting sustained support in the eastern state amid the collapse of the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. High turnout near 78% and the AfD's positioning on immigration, economic concerns, and regional issues consolidated its lead. The result aligned with trader consensus in the 42-45% range, though the party fell three seats short of an outright majority; other parties clearing or missing the 5% threshold could have altered coalition math but did not shift the AfD's vote share materially.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Объем
$374,554Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The AfD secured 43.8% of the vote in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, more than doubling its 2021 share and finishing well ahead of the CDU at 17.2%. Consistent pre-election polling from institutes including INSA, Infratest dimap, and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen placed the party in the low-to-mid 40s throughout the summer, reflecting sustained support in the eastern state amid the collapse of the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. High turnout near 78% and the AfD's positioning on immigration, economic concerns, and regional issues consolidated its lead. The result aligned with trader consensus in the 42-45% range, though the party fell three seats short of an outright majority; other parties clearing or missing the 5% threshold could have altered coalition math but did not shift the AfD's vote share materially.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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