OpenAI holds an 80.5% implied probability of ranking as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August, underscoring trader consensus around its sustained edge in large language model scaling, agent orchestration frameworks, and demonstrated capabilities relative to competitors. Markets assign far lower odds to specialists such as Z.ai (8.3%), Moonshot (7.0%), Anthropic (6.5%), and ByteDance (6.5%), reflecting limited verified breakthroughs or benchmark gains that could close the gap in the remaining weeks. The distribution captures skin-in-the-game sentiment on competitive dynamics, where OpenAI’s platform advantages and release cadence continue to anchor expectations ahead of the near-term resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВторая лучшая лаборатория ИИ-агентов в конце августа?
Вторая лучшая лаборатория ИИ-агентов в конце августа?
OpenAI 81%
Moonshot 7%
ByteDance 7%
Anthropic 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
OpenAI
81%
Moonshot
7%
ByteDance
7%
Anthropic
6%
Z.ai
5%
Alibaba
5%
SpaceXAI
4%
Mistral
4%
Xiaomi
4%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Baidu
1%
Microsoft
1%
1%
Meta
1%
Amazon
1%
Meituan
1%
OpenAI 81%
Moonshot 7%
ByteDance 7%
Anthropic 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
OpenAI
$1,059 Объем
81%
Moonshot
$127 Объем
7%
ByteDance
$276 Объем
7%
Anthropic
$134 Объем
6%
Z.ai
$116 Объем
5%
Alibaba
$125 Объем
5%
SpaceXAI
$116 Объем
4%
Mistral
$142 Объем
4%
Xiaomi
$136 Объем
4%
DeepSeek
$116 Объем
1%
MiniMax
$126 Объем
1%
Nvidia
$126 Объем
1%
Baidu
$204 Объем
1%
Microsoft
$195 Объем
1%
$76 Объем
1%
Meta
$97 Объем
1%
Amazon
$77 Объем
1%
Meituan
$70 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds an 80.5% implied probability of ranking as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August, underscoring trader consensus around its sustained edge in large language model scaling, agent orchestration frameworks, and demonstrated capabilities relative to competitors. Markets assign far lower odds to specialists such as Z.ai (8.3%), Moonshot (7.0%), Anthropic (6.5%), and ByteDance (6.5%), reflecting limited verified breakthroughs or benchmark gains that could close the gap in the remaining weeks. The distribution captures skin-in-the-game sentiment on competitive dynamics, where OpenAI’s platform advantages and release cadence continue to anchor expectations ahead of the near-term resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Объем
$3,318Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agentResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds an 80.5% implied probability of ranking as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August, underscoring trader consensus around its sustained edge in large language model scaling, agent orchestration frameworks, and demonstrated capabilities relative to competitors. Markets assign far lower odds to specialists such as Z.ai (8.3%), Moonshot (7.0%), Anthropic (6.5%), and ByteDance (6.5%), reflecting limited verified breakthroughs or benchmark gains that could close the gap in the remaining weeks. The distribution captures skin-in-the-game sentiment on competitive dynamics, where OpenAI’s platform advantages and release cadence continue to anchor expectations ahead of the near-term resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$3,318Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agentResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI holds an 80.5% implied probability of ranking as the second-best AI agent lab by end of August, underscoring trader consensus around its sustained edge in large language model scaling, agent orchestration frameworks, and demonstrated capabilities relative to competitors. Markets assign far lower odds to specialists such as Z.ai (8.3%), Moonshot (7.0%), Anthropic (6.5%), and ByteDance (6.5%), reflecting limited verified breakthroughs or benchmark gains that could close the gap in the remaining weeks. The distribution captures skin-in-the-game sentiment on competitive dynamics, where OpenAI’s platform advantages and release cadence continue to anchor expectations ahead of the near-term resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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