Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 release in mid-July has anchored trader consensus for third place among AI agent labs by end-August, with the 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight model posting leading scores on agentic benchmarks for tool use, long-horizon coding, and multi-step task completion. Its 1-million-token context, competitive results against closed U.S. frontier systems, and sub-$20/M pricing have driven adoption signals and placed it directly behind Anthropic and OpenAI on recent Agent Arena and LMSpeed leaderboards. Strong July funding momentum and open-weight availability further reinforce the positioning. Resolution hinges on final August 31 leaderboard snapshots, so any surprise competitor refresh or benchmark methodology shift remains a narrow risk to the current market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТретья лучшая лаборатория ИИ-агентов в конце августа?
Третья лучшая лаборатория ИИ-агентов в конце августа?
Moonshot 96.5%
OpenAI 3.5%
Alibaba 1.7%
Z.ai <1%
$23,453 Объем
$23,453 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
Moonshot
97%
OpenAI
3%
Alibaba
2%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Anthropic
1%
Mistral
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Meta
<1%
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Moonshot 96.5%
OpenAI 3.5%
Alibaba 1.7%
Z.ai <1%
$23,453 Объем
$23,453 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
Moonshot
$6,070 Объем
97%
OpenAI
$3,799 Объем
3%
Alibaba
$1,242 Объем
2%
Z.ai
$2,131 Объем
1%
SpaceXAI
$849 Объем
1%
DeepSeek
$989 Объем
1%
Anthropic
$1,116 Объем
1%
Mistral
$1,317 Объем
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,102 Объем
<1%
Meta
$504 Объем
<1%
$462 Объем
<1%
MiniMax
$868 Объем
<1%
Nvidia
$401 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$465 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$699 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$477 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$580 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$385 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 release in mid-July has anchored trader consensus for third place among AI agent labs by end-August, with the 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight model posting leading scores on agentic benchmarks for tool use, long-horizon coding, and multi-step task completion. Its 1-million-token context, competitive results against closed U.S. frontier systems, and sub-$20/M pricing have driven adoption signals and placed it directly behind Anthropic and OpenAI on recent Agent Arena and LMSpeed leaderboards. Strong July funding momentum and open-weight availability further reinforce the positioning. Resolution hinges on final August 31 leaderboard snapshots, so any surprise competitor refresh or benchmark methodology shift remains a narrow risk to the current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Объем
$23,453Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 release in mid-July has anchored trader consensus for third place among AI agent labs by end-August, with the 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight model posting leading scores on agentic benchmarks for tool use, long-horizon coding, and multi-step task completion. Its 1-million-token context, competitive results against closed U.S. frontier systems, and sub-$20/M pricing have driven adoption signals and placed it directly behind Anthropic and OpenAI on recent Agent Arena and LMSpeed leaderboards. Strong July funding momentum and open-weight availability further reinforce the positioning. Resolution hinges on final August 31 leaderboard snapshots, so any surprise competitor refresh or benchmark methodology shift remains a narrow risk to the current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$23,453Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 release in mid-July has anchored trader consensus for third place among AI agent labs by end-August, with the 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight model posting leading scores on agentic benchmarks for tool use, long-horizon coding, and multi-step task completion. Its 1-million-token context, competitive results against closed U.S. frontier systems, and sub-$20/M pricing have driven adoption signals and placed it directly behind Anthropic and OpenAI on recent Agent Arena and LMSpeed leaderboards. Strong July funding momentum and open-weight availability further reinforce the positioning. Resolution hinges on final August 31 leaderboard snapshots, so any surprise competitor refresh or benchmark methodology shift remains a narrow risk to the current market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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