South Korea’s April 2026 CPI release, showing a 2.6% year-over-year increase—the highest since mid-2024—has anchored trader positioning around the 2.4–2.6% bin for the full-year average. The acceleration, driven primarily by a 7.9% jump in petroleum products and transport costs amid Middle East supply disruptions, prompted the IMF to lift its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.5% while holding GDP growth at 1.9%. With the Bank of Korea now signaling openness to rate hikes as early as July, market-implied odds reflect a narrow contest between persistent energy-driven upside and expectations that core inflation will stabilize near 2.2% once oil pressures ease. Upcoming May and June CPI prints, along with any further central-bank guidance, remain the key swing factors that could shift consensus between the closely matched 2.1–2.3% and 2.4–2.6% ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено3,0%+ 43%
2,4% до 2,6% 39.1%
1,5% — 1,7% 8%
<1,5% 5.8%
$11,072 Объем
$11,072 Объем
<1,5%
6%
1,5% — 1,7%
8%
от 1,8% до 2,0%
30%
От 2,1% до 2,3%
37%
2,4% до 2,6%
39%
От 2,7% до 2,9%
31%
3,0%+
31%
3,0%+ 43%
2,4% до 2,6% 39.1%
1,5% — 1,7% 8%
<1,5% 5.8%
$11,072 Объем
$11,072 Объем
<1,5%
6%
1,5% — 1,7%
8%
от 1,8% до 2,0%
30%
От 2,1% до 2,3%
37%
2,4% до 2,6%
39%
От 2,7% до 2,9%
31%
3,0%+
31%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s April 2026 CPI release, showing a 2.6% year-over-year increase—the highest since mid-2024—has anchored trader positioning around the 2.4–2.6% bin for the full-year average. The acceleration, driven primarily by a 7.9% jump in petroleum products and transport costs amid Middle East supply disruptions, prompted the IMF to lift its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.5% while holding GDP growth at 1.9%. With the Bank of Korea now signaling openness to rate hikes as early as July, market-implied odds reflect a narrow contest between persistent energy-driven upside and expectations that core inflation will stabilize near 2.2% once oil pressures ease. Upcoming May and June CPI prints, along with any further central-bank guidance, remain the key swing factors that could shift consensus between the closely matched 2.1–2.3% and 2.4–2.6% ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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