SpaceX has advanced Starship V3 testing with multiple successful Super Heavy booster tower catches and improved heat shield performance during Flight 13 in July 2026, which delivered the first intact upper-stage splashdown and valuable reentry data. However, the upper stage has yet to attempt a tower catch, orbital flights remain pending for Flight 14 in September, and Elon Musk has targeted the first ship reflight for late 2026 or early 2027. Regulatory approvals, engine reliability refinements, and the technical demands of rapid full-stack reuse continue to introduce schedule risk, supporting the market's 64% probability that full reusability will not be demonstrated before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКорабль SpaceX Starship можно будет использовать повторно до 2027 года?
Да
$121,187 Объем
$121,187 Объем
Да
$121,187 Объем
$121,187 Объем
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date.
The resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date.
The resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...SpaceX has advanced Starship V3 testing with multiple successful Super Heavy booster tower catches and improved heat shield performance during Flight 13 in July 2026, which delivered the first intact upper-stage splashdown and valuable reentry data. However, the upper stage has yet to attempt a tower catch, orbital flights remain pending for Flight 14 in September, and Elon Musk has targeted the first ship reflight for late 2026 or early 2027. Regulatory approvals, engine reliability refinements, and the technical demands of rapid full-stack reuse continue to introduce schedule risk, supporting the market's 64% probability that full reusability will not be demonstrated before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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