xAI's Grok models currently sit at 12-14% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath Tiers 1-3, a set of 300 unpublished, research-level math problems designed to resist data contamination and require hours or days of expert effort per question. This places them well behind leaders like OpenAI's o-series variants and GPT-5 iterations, which have posted scores in the mid-20s to low-50s in recent independent evaluations. With only days remaining until the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline and no confirmed Grok updates or capability jumps announced in the past month, trader sentiment reflects the narrow window for any rapid improvement. Competitive dynamics in advanced reasoning benchmarks continue to favor labs with stronger demonstrated tool use and scaling on math-specific tasks, though xAI's focus on unique problem-solving strengths has occasionally yielded novel solves on FrontierMath.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновленооценка xAI Grok по FrontierMath Benchmark к 30 июня?
оценка xAI Grok по FrontierMath Benchmark к 30 июня?
$24,109 Объем
28 фев. 2026 г.
40%+
93%
50%+
<1%
$24,109 Объем
40%+
$3,582 Объем
93%
50%+
$379 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently sit at 12-14% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath Tiers 1-3, a set of 300 unpublished, research-level math problems designed to resist data contamination and require hours or days of expert effort per question. This places them well behind leaders like OpenAI's o-series variants and GPT-5 iterations, which have posted scores in the mid-20s to low-50s in recent independent evaluations. With only days remaining until the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline and no confirmed Grok updates or capability jumps announced in the past month, trader sentiment reflects the narrow window for any rapid improvement. Competitive dynamics in advanced reasoning benchmarks continue to favor labs with stronger demonstrated tool use and scaling on math-specific tasks, though xAI's focus on unique problem-solving strengths has occasionally yielded novel solves on FrontierMath.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Объем
$24,109Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently sit at 12-14% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath Tiers 1-3, a set of 300 unpublished, research-level math problems designed to resist data contamination and require hours or days of expert effort per question. This places them well behind leaders like OpenAI's o-series variants and GPT-5 iterations, which have posted scores in the mid-20s to low-50s in recent independent evaluations. With only days remaining until the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline and no confirmed Grok updates or capability jumps announced in the past month, trader sentiment reflects the narrow window for any rapid improvement. Competitive dynamics in advanced reasoning benchmarks continue to favor labs with stronger demonstrated tool use and scaling on math-specific tasks, though xAI's focus on unique problem-solving strengths has occasionally yielded novel solves on FrontierMath.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$24,109Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's Grok models currently sit at 12-14% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath Tiers 1-3, a set of 300 unpublished, research-level math problems designed to resist data contamination and require hours or days of expert effort per question. This places them well behind leaders like OpenAI's o-series variants and GPT-5 iterations, which have posted scores in the mid-20s to low-50s in recent independent evaluations. With only days remaining until the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline and no confirmed Grok updates or capability jumps announced in the past month, trader sentiment reflects the narrow window for any rapid improvement. Competitive dynamics in advanced reasoning benchmarks continue to favor labs with stronger demonstrated tool use and scaling on math-specific tasks, though xAI's focus on unique problem-solving strengths has occasionally yielded novel solves on FrontierMath.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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