Recent Northern Hemisphere daily temperature analyses show August 1, 2026, reached a record high average near 22.7°C, exceeding prior maxima in reanalysis datasets such as those tracking anomalies relative to 1979–2000 baselines. This aligns with the market-implied 96.6% consensus for first-hottest status, driven by persistent global ocean heat content, a maturing El Niño phase that amplifies surface warming, and the long-term anthropogenic trend pushing daily records higher. July 2026 tied the warmest month on record per NOAA data, providing supporting context. Revisions to early observational records or unexpected cooling from volcanic aerosols or rapid La Niña onset could theoretically alter rankings, though such shifts remain low-probability given current model consensus and data stability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest 96.5%
2nd hottest 2.7%
3rd hottest 1.6%
4th or lower 1.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
1st hottest
97%
2nd hottest
3%
3rd hottest
2%
4th or lower
1%
1st hottest 96.5%
2nd hottest 2.7%
3rd hottest 1.6%
4th or lower 1.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
1st hottest
$510 ปริมาณ
97%
2nd hottest
$334 ปริมาณ
3%
3rd hottest
$152 ปริมาณ
2%
4th or lower
$151 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Recent Northern Hemisphere daily temperature analyses show August 1, 2026, reached a record high average near 22.7°C, exceeding prior maxima in reanalysis datasets such as those tracking anomalies relative to 1979–2000 baselines. This aligns with the market-implied 96.6% consensus for first-hottest status, driven by persistent global ocean heat content, a maturing El Niño phase that amplifies surface warming, and the long-term anthropogenic trend pushing daily records higher. July 2026 tied the warmest month on record per NOAA data, providing supporting context. Revisions to early observational records or unexpected cooling from volcanic aerosols or rapid La Niña onset could theoretically alter rankings, though such shifts remain low-probability given current model consensus and data stability.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,147วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Recent Northern Hemisphere daily temperature analyses show August 1, 2026, reached a record high average near 22.7°C, exceeding prior maxima in reanalysis datasets such as those tracking anomalies relative to 1979–2000 baselines. This aligns with the market-implied 96.6% consensus for first-hottest status, driven by persistent global ocean heat content, a maturing El Niño phase that amplifies surface warming, and the long-term anthropogenic trend pushing daily records higher. July 2026 tied the warmest month on record per NOAA data, providing supporting context. Revisions to early observational records or unexpected cooling from volcanic aerosols or rapid La Niña onset could theoretically alter rankings, though such shifts remain low-probability given current model consensus and data stability.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,147วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Northern Hemisphere daily temperature analyses show August 1, 2026, reached a record high average near 22.7°C, exceeding prior maxima in reanalysis datasets such as those tracking anomalies relative to 1979–2000 baselines. This aligns with the market-implied 96.6% consensus for first-hottest status, driven by persistent global ocean heat content, a maturing El Niño phase that amplifies surface warming, and the long-term anthropogenic trend pushing daily records higher. July 2026 tied the warmest month on record per NOAA data, providing supporting context. Revisions to early observational records or unexpected cooling from volcanic aerosols or rapid La Niña onset could theoretically alter rankings, though such shifts remain low-probability given current model consensus and data stability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย