Trader consensus prices PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 52% in the May 17 Andalusian regional election, reflecting consistent final polls projecting 24-30 seats amid proportional representation and d'Hondt seat allocation in the 109-seat parliament. Recent surveys from Sigma Dos (27-30 seats, 24.7% vote share), GAD3 (26-28, 21.7%), 40dB (27-29, 23%), and RTVE's aggregator (27 seats, 23%)—published May 4-11—show no late recovery for María Jesús Montero's PSOE-A, down from 30 seats in 2022 due to PP's Juanma Moreno consolidating incumbency advantages and left fragmentation between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. Vox gains (13-17 seats) further pressure PSOE without altering the core range, as PP nears absolute majority.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAndalusia Election: PSOE-A # of seats?
Andalusia Election: PSOE-A # of seats?
27-29 64%
24-26 39%
21-23 9.1%
30-32 6.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
<21
3%
21-23
9%
24-26
31%
27-29
51%
30-32
7%
33+
3%
27-29 64%
24-26 39%
21-23 9.1%
30-32 6.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
<21
$397 ปริมาณ
3%
21-23
$713 ปริมาณ
9%
24-26
$380 ปริมาณ
31%
27-29
$556 ปริมาณ
51%
30-32
$153 ปริมาณ
7%
33+
$1,892 ปริมาณ
3%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Trader consensus prices PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 52% in the May 17 Andalusian regional election, reflecting consistent final polls projecting 24-30 seats amid proportional representation and d'Hondt seat allocation in the 109-seat parliament. Recent surveys from Sigma Dos (27-30 seats, 24.7% vote share), GAD3 (26-28, 21.7%), 40dB (27-29, 23%), and RTVE's aggregator (27 seats, 23%)—published May 4-11—show no late recovery for María Jesús Montero's PSOE-A, down from 30 seats in 2022 due to PP's Juanma Moreno consolidating incumbency advantages and left fragmentation between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. Vox gains (13-17 seats) further pressure PSOE without altering the core range, as PP nears absolute majority.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,091วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Trader consensus prices PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 52% in the May 17 Andalusian regional election, reflecting consistent final polls projecting 24-30 seats amid proportional representation and d'Hondt seat allocation in the 109-seat parliament. Recent surveys from Sigma Dos (27-30 seats, 24.7% vote share), GAD3 (26-28, 21.7%), 40dB (27-29, 23%), and RTVE's aggregator (27 seats, 23%)—published May 4-11—show no late recovery for María Jesús Montero's PSOE-A, down from 30 seats in 2022 due to PP's Juanma Moreno consolidating incumbency advantages and left fragmentation between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. Vox gains (13-17 seats) further pressure PSOE without altering the core range, as PP nears absolute majority.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,091วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 52% in the May 17 Andalusian regional election, reflecting consistent final polls projecting 24-30 seats amid proportional representation and d'Hondt seat allocation in the 109-seat parliament. Recent surveys from Sigma Dos (27-30 seats, 24.7% vote share), GAD3 (26-28, 21.7%), 40dB (27-29, 23%), and RTVE's aggregator (27 seats, 23%)—published May 4-11—show no late recovery for María Jesús Montero's PSOE-A, down from 30 seats in 2022 due to PP's Juanma Moreno consolidating incumbency advantages and left fragmentation between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. Vox gains (13-17 seats) further pressure PSOE without altering the core range, as PP nears absolute majority.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย