Iliana Iotova, the incumbent president who assumed office in January 2026 following Rumen Radev’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for Bulgaria’s October 25 presidential election, with support ranging from 41% to 48% among likely voters across surveys by Market Links, Trend, and Myara. Her ticket with Kiril Valchev benefits from endorsements by Progressive Bulgaria, the Bulgarian Socialist Party, and allied groups, consolidating center-left and pro-Radev voters ahead of the first round. Andrey Gyurov, a former caretaker prime minister backed by reformist parties including We Continue the Change and Democratic Bulgaria, trails at 22-25% and remains the only plausible challenger for a potential November 1 runoff. The remaining 25 registered tickets, including those from Vazrazhdane and smaller parties, register single-digit or lower support, reinforcing the market’s assessment of concentrated voter preferences with two weeks until election day.