The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in California's 21st congressional district race due to the district's underlying partisan composition and the strength of incumbent Jim Costa. Multiple nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as Likely Democratic, reflecting a voter registration edge of roughly 41 percent Democratic to 27 percent Republican, along with the district's recent voting patterns favoring the party. Costa, a longtime moderate Democrat, faces primary challengers but benefits from incumbency advantages and established fundraising. Republican contenders, including business leader Kyle Kirkland and veteran Lorenzo Rios, have announced campaigns, yet face structural headwinds in a district that shifted modestly leftward after redistricting. The June 2 primary will narrow the field ahead of the November general election, with traders assigning high probability to a Democratic hold based on these fundamentals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-21 House Election Winner
CA-21 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,884 ปริมาณ
88%
Republican Party
$1,394 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in California's 21st congressional district race due to the district's underlying partisan composition and the strength of incumbent Jim Costa. Multiple nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as Likely Democratic, reflecting a voter registration edge of roughly 41 percent Democratic to 27 percent Republican, along with the district's recent voting patterns favoring the party. Costa, a longtime moderate Democrat, faces primary challengers but benefits from incumbency advantages and established fundraising. Republican contenders, including business leader Kyle Kirkland and veteran Lorenzo Rios, have announced campaigns, yet face structural headwinds in a district that shifted modestly leftward after redistricting. The June 2 primary will narrow the field ahead of the November general election, with traders assigning high probability to a Democratic hold based on these fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,278วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in California's 21st congressional district race due to the district's underlying partisan composition and the strength of incumbent Jim Costa. Multiple nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as Likely Democratic, reflecting a voter registration edge of roughly 41 percent Democratic to 27 percent Republican, along with the district's recent voting patterns favoring the party. Costa, a longtime moderate Democrat, faces primary challengers but benefits from incumbency advantages and established fundraising. Republican contenders, including business leader Kyle Kirkland and veteran Lorenzo Rios, have announced campaigns, yet face structural headwinds in a district that shifted modestly leftward after redistricting. The June 2 primary will narrow the field ahead of the November general election, with traders assigning high probability to a Democratic hold based on these fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,278วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in California's 21st congressional district race due to the district's underlying partisan composition and the strength of incumbent Jim Costa. Multiple nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as Likely Democratic, reflecting a voter registration edge of roughly 41 percent Democratic to 27 percent Republican, along with the district's recent voting patterns favoring the party. Costa, a longtime moderate Democrat, faces primary challengers but benefits from incumbency advantages and established fundraising. Republican contenders, including business leader Kyle Kirkland and veteran Lorenzo Rios, have announced campaigns, yet face structural headwinds in a district that shifted modestly leftward after redistricting. The June 2 primary will narrow the field ahead of the November general election, with traders assigning high probability to a Democratic hold based on these fundamentals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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