Democratic candidate Randy Villegas holds an 87% implied probability in the CA-22 race against Republican incumbent David Valadao, reflecting the effects of Proposition 50 redistricting that shifted the Central Valley district toward a toss-up or slight Democratic lean based on 2024 presidential voting. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Valadao took 40.7% while the two Democrats combined for over 59%, advancing the progressive Villegas over the more moderate Jasmeet Bains and highlighting consolidated opposition support. Recent polls show Villegas leading by narrow margins after voters weigh candidate biographies, with Valadao facing headwinds from low Trump favorability in the district and criticism over his vote on Medicaid-related provisions in a high-dependency area. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, underscoring the competitive dynamics in this battleground seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-22 House Election Winner
CA-22 House Election Winner
$12,192 ปริมาณ
$12,192 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
14%
$12,192 ปริมาณ
$12,192 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,239 ปริมาณ
87%
Republican Party
$5,954 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic candidate Randy Villegas holds an 87% implied probability in the CA-22 race against Republican incumbent David Valadao, reflecting the effects of Proposition 50 redistricting that shifted the Central Valley district toward a toss-up or slight Democratic lean based on 2024 presidential voting. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Valadao took 40.7% while the two Democrats combined for over 59%, advancing the progressive Villegas over the more moderate Jasmeet Bains and highlighting consolidated opposition support. Recent polls show Villegas leading by narrow margins after voters weigh candidate biographies, with Valadao facing headwinds from low Trump favorability in the district and criticism over his vote on Medicaid-related provisions in a high-dependency area. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, underscoring the competitive dynamics in this battleground seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,192วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic candidate Randy Villegas holds an 87% implied probability in the CA-22 race against Republican incumbent David Valadao, reflecting the effects of Proposition 50 redistricting that shifted the Central Valley district toward a toss-up or slight Democratic lean based on 2024 presidential voting. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Valadao took 40.7% while the two Democrats combined for over 59%, advancing the progressive Villegas over the more moderate Jasmeet Bains and highlighting consolidated opposition support. Recent polls show Villegas leading by narrow margins after voters weigh candidate biographies, with Valadao facing headwinds from low Trump favorability in the district and criticism over his vote on Medicaid-related provisions in a high-dependency area. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, underscoring the competitive dynamics in this battleground seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,192วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic candidate Randy Villegas holds an 87% implied probability in the CA-22 race against Republican incumbent David Valadao, reflecting the effects of Proposition 50 redistricting that shifted the Central Valley district toward a toss-up or slight Democratic lean based on 2024 presidential voting. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Valadao took 40.7% while the two Democrats combined for over 59%, advancing the progressive Villegas over the more moderate Jasmeet Bains and highlighting consolidated opposition support. Recent polls show Villegas leading by narrow margins after voters weigh candidate biographies, with Valadao facing headwinds from low Trump favorability in the district and criticism over his vote on Medicaid-related provisions in a high-dependency area. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, underscoring the competitive dynamics in this battleground seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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