China conducted a rare submarine-launched ballistic missile test into the Pacific on July 6, 2026, its first such long-range public launch in nearly two years, drawing regional criticism over short-notice notifications. No additional qualifying ballistic missile launches into international waters have occurred since, consistent with Beijing’s pattern of infrequent public strategic tests outside routine exercises. The July event allowed demonstration of sea-based nuclear deterrence capabilities amid naval drills, reducing immediate pressure for further high-profile activity before year-end. Traders view the absence of new escalatory catalysts or scheduled milestones through December as supporting the current consensus against another launch.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
19% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
19% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.China conducted a rare submarine-launched ballistic missile test into the Pacific on July 6, 2026, its first such long-range public launch in nearly two years, drawing regional criticism over short-notice notifications. No additional qualifying ballistic missile launches into international waters have occurred since, consistent with Beijing’s pattern of infrequent public strategic tests outside routine exercises. The July event allowed demonstration of sea-based nuclear deterrence capabilities amid naval drills, reducing immediate pressure for further high-profile activity before year-end. Traders view the absence of new escalatory catalysts or scheduled milestones through December as supporting the current consensus against another launch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
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$9,496วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 9:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.China conducted a rare submarine-launched ballistic missile test into the Pacific on July 6, 2026, its first such long-range public launch in nearly two years, drawing regional criticism over short-notice notifications. No additional qualifying ballistic missile launches into international waters have occurred since, consistent with Beijing’s pattern of infrequent public strategic tests outside routine exercises. The July event allowed demonstration of sea-based nuclear deterrence capabilities amid naval drills, reducing immediate pressure for further high-profile activity before year-end. Traders view the absence of new escalatory catalysts or scheduled milestones through December as supporting the current consensus against another launch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,496วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 9:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...China conducted a rare submarine-launched ballistic missile test into the Pacific on July 6, 2026, its first such long-range public launch in nearly two years, drawing regional criticism over short-notice notifications. No additional qualifying ballistic missile launches into international waters have occurred since, consistent with Beijing’s pattern of infrequent public strategic tests outside routine exercises. The July event allowed demonstration of sea-based nuclear deterrence capabilities amid naval drills, reducing immediate pressure for further high-profile activity before year-end. Traders view the absence of new escalatory catalysts or scheduled milestones through December as supporting the current consensus against another launch.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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