Count Binface holds a commanding lead in the Clacton by-election second-place market due to the withdrawal of Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, and Greens, which leaves him as the sole prominent non-Farage contender on a ballot featuring over 30 minor independents and novelty candidates. Recent polls show Farage on roughly 73 percent with Binface around 20 percent, creating a wide gap over figures such as Laurence Fox or John Stevens. Binface's media visibility, tactical-voting attention, and July manifesto pledges have further consolidated opposition support. Trader pricing reflects this structural dynamic, though late shifts in turnout or unexpected consolidation among smaller candidates could narrow the margin before polls close on 13 August.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCount Binface 98.0%
Nigel Farage <1%
John Stevens <1%
Laurence Fox <1%
$601,253 ปริมาณ
$601,253 ปริมาณ
Count Binface
98%
Nigel Farage
1%
John Stevens
1%
Laurence Fox
<1%
William Clouston
<1%
Giles Watling
<1%
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
<1%
Matthew Bensilum
<1%
Natasha Osben
<1%
Tony Mack
<1%
Andrew Pemberton
<1%
Piers Corbyn
<1%
Adham Alkhatip
<1%
Rees Cowne
<1%
Kai Stephens
<1%
Luke Worley
<1%
Pamela Walford
<1%
Count Binface 98.0%
Nigel Farage <1%
John Stevens <1%
Laurence Fox <1%
$601,253 ปริมาณ
$601,253 ปริมาณ
Count Binface
98%
Nigel Farage
1%
John Stevens
1%
Laurence Fox
<1%
William Clouston
<1%
Giles Watling
<1%
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
<1%
Matthew Bensilum
<1%
Natasha Osben
<1%
Tony Mack
<1%
Andrew Pemberton
<1%
Piers Corbyn
<1%
Adham Alkhatip
<1%
Rees Cowne
<1%
Kai Stephens
<1%
Luke Worley
<1%
Pamela Walford
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Count Binface holds a commanding lead in the Clacton by-election second-place market due to the withdrawal of Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, and Greens, which leaves him as the sole prominent non-Farage contender on a ballot featuring over 30 minor independents and novelty candidates. Recent polls show Farage on roughly 73 percent with Binface around 20 percent, creating a wide gap over figures such as Laurence Fox or John Stevens. Binface's media visibility, tactical-voting attention, and July manifesto pledges have further consolidated opposition support. Trader pricing reflects this structural dynamic, though late shifts in turnout or unexpected consolidation among smaller candidates could narrow the margin before polls close on 13 August.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย