Traders are assigning a dominant implied probability to no change in the federal funds rate at the July FOMC meeting, driven by the Federal Reserve’s recent communications underscoring a data-dependent approach amid inflation readings that have hovered near the 2 percent target and a labor market that continues to post moderate job gains without accelerating wage pressures. This positioning aligns with current Treasury yield curves and forward rate expectations that show limited scope for immediate policy shifts. Key upcoming releases, including the next CPI and employment reports, along with any revisions to growth forecasts, remain the primary variables that could alter the market-implied odds if they deviate materially from consensus estimates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการตัดสินใจของเฟดในเดือนกรกฎาคม?
การตัดสินใจของเฟดในเดือนกรกฎาคม?
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง 94%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 4.9%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 1.9%
ลดมากกว่า 50 จุดฐาน <1%
$5,744,315 ปริมาณ
$5,744,315 ปริมาณ
Jul 29, 2026
ลดมากกว่า 50 จุดฐาน
1%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
2%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง
94%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
5%
ปรับขึ้นมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
<1%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง 94%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 4.9%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 1.9%
ลดมากกว่า 50 จุดฐาน <1%
$5,744,315 ปริมาณ
$5,744,315 ปริมาณ
Jul 29, 2026
ลดมากกว่า 50 จุดฐาน
$570,208 ปริมาณ
1%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
$461,347 ปริมาณ
2%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง
$680,380 ปริมาณ
94%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
$3,441,822 ปริมาณ
5%
ปรับขึ้นมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
$590,762 ปริมาณ
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders are assigning a dominant implied probability to no change in the federal funds rate at the July FOMC meeting, driven by the Federal Reserve’s recent communications underscoring a data-dependent approach amid inflation readings that have hovered near the 2 percent target and a labor market that continues to post moderate job gains without accelerating wage pressures. This positioning aligns with current Treasury yield curves and forward rate expectations that show limited scope for immediate policy shifts. Key upcoming releases, including the next CPI and employment reports, along with any revisions to growth forecasts, remain the primary variables that could alter the market-implied odds if they deviate materially from consensus estimates.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,744,315วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders are assigning a dominant implied probability to no change in the federal funds rate at the July FOMC meeting, driven by the Federal Reserve’s recent communications underscoring a data-dependent approach amid inflation readings that have hovered near the 2 percent target and a labor market that continues to post moderate job gains without accelerating wage pressures. This positioning aligns with current Treasury yield curves and forward rate expectations that show limited scope for immediate policy shifts. Key upcoming releases, including the next CPI and employment reports, along with any revisions to growth forecasts, remain the primary variables that could alter the market-implied odds if they deviate materially from consensus estimates.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,744,315วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are assigning a dominant implied probability to no change in the federal funds rate at the July FOMC meeting, driven by the Federal Reserve’s recent communications underscoring a data-dependent approach amid inflation readings that have hovered near the 2 percent target and a labor market that continues to post moderate job gains without accelerating wage pressures. This positioning aligns with current Treasury yield curves and forward rate expectations that show limited scope for immediate policy shifts. Key upcoming releases, including the next CPI and employment reports, along with any revisions to growth forecasts, remain the primary variables that could alter the market-implied odds if they deviate materially from consensus estimates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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