Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI data, which climbed 3.8% year-over-year and 0.6% month-over-month amid energy price pressures, combined with resilient nonfarm payrolls, have driven trader consensus toward no change in the federal funds rate at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. With the target range already steady at 3.50%-3.75% after the April decision and inflation remaining well above the Fed’s 2% goal, market-implied odds reflect limited scope for immediate policy shifts in either direction. This positioning aligns with the central bank’s data-dependent approach and recent communications stressing caution amid balanced risks to its dual mandate. A sharper slowdown in May or June labor indicators or a surprise cooling in upcoming CPI prints could still open the door to a 25-basis-point cut, while renewed energy spikes might tilt sentiment toward a hike.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการตัดสินใจของเฟดในเดือนกรกฎาคม?
การตัดสินใจของเฟดในเดือนกรกฎาคม?
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง 94%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 4.5%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 2.0%
ลดมากกว่า 50 จุดฐาน <1%
$5,676,058 ปริมาณ
$5,676,058 ปริมาณ
Jul 29, 2026
ลดมากกว่า 50 จุดฐาน
1%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
2%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง
94%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
5%
ปรับขึ้นมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
<1%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง 94%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 4.5%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 2.0%
ลดมากกว่า 50 จุดฐาน <1%
$5,676,058 ปริมาณ
$5,676,058 ปริมาณ
Jul 29, 2026
ลดมากกว่า 50 จุดฐาน
$563,426 ปริมาณ
1%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
$452,542 ปริมาณ
2%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง
$671,752 ปริมาณ
94%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
$3,429,533 ปริมาณ
5%
ปรับขึ้นมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
$561,187 ปริมาณ
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI data, which climbed 3.8% year-over-year and 0.6% month-over-month amid energy price pressures, combined with resilient nonfarm payrolls, have driven trader consensus toward no change in the federal funds rate at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. With the target range already steady at 3.50%-3.75% after the April decision and inflation remaining well above the Fed’s 2% goal, market-implied odds reflect limited scope for immediate policy shifts in either direction. This positioning aligns with the central bank’s data-dependent approach and recent communications stressing caution amid balanced risks to its dual mandate. A sharper slowdown in May or June labor indicators or a surprise cooling in upcoming CPI prints could still open the door to a 25-basis-point cut, while renewed energy spikes might tilt sentiment toward a hike.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,676,058วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI data, which climbed 3.8% year-over-year and 0.6% month-over-month amid energy price pressures, combined with resilient nonfarm payrolls, have driven trader consensus toward no change in the federal funds rate at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. With the target range already steady at 3.50%-3.75% after the April decision and inflation remaining well above the Fed’s 2% goal, market-implied odds reflect limited scope for immediate policy shifts in either direction. This positioning aligns with the central bank’s data-dependent approach and recent communications stressing caution amid balanced risks to its dual mandate. A sharper slowdown in May or June labor indicators or a surprise cooling in upcoming CPI prints could still open the door to a 25-basis-point cut, while renewed energy spikes might tilt sentiment toward a hike.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,676,058วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI data, which climbed 3.8% year-over-year and 0.6% month-over-month amid energy price pressures, combined with resilient nonfarm payrolls, have driven trader consensus toward no change in the federal funds rate at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. With the target range already steady at 3.50%-3.75% after the April decision and inflation remaining well above the Fed’s 2% goal, market-implied odds reflect limited scope for immediate policy shifts in either direction. This positioning aligns with the central bank’s data-dependent approach and recent communications stressing caution amid balanced risks to its dual mandate. A sharper slowdown in May or June labor indicators or a surprise cooling in upcoming CPI prints could still open the door to a 25-basis-point cut, while renewed energy spikes might tilt sentiment toward a hike.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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