Mount Washington Observatory measurements show typical early-August summit conditions with sustained winds near 25-30 mph and gusts to 40 mph, far below winter peaks. Trader sentiment for the highest August gust reaching ≥85 mph (market-implied odds ~73-96%) reflects climatological patterns where occasional strong extratropical systems or frontal passages can produce 80-120 mph gusts even in summer, though far less frequently than cold-season nor'easters. Official anemometer records from the 6,288-foot summit, using pitot-static and cup instruments calibrated per National Weather Service standards, will determine resolution, with daily updates and monthly summaries from the observatory serving as primary data releases. Historical analogs indicate August maxima often fall in the 70-100 mph range, creating uncertainty around thresholds like 90-95 mph that hinges on whether any late-month cyclone develops.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?

≥85 mph
95%

≥90 mph
94%

≥95 mph
95%

≥100 mph
99%

≥105 mph
78%

≥110 mph
49%

≥115 mph
38%
$2,390 ปริมาณ

≥85 mph
95%

≥90 mph
94%

≥95 mph
95%

≥100 mph
99%

≥105 mph
78%

≥110 mph
49%

≥115 mph
38%
The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.
The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mount Washington Observatory measurements show typical early-August summit conditions with sustained winds near 25-30 mph and gusts to 40 mph, far below winter peaks. Trader sentiment for the highest August gust reaching ≥85 mph (market-implied odds ~73-96%) reflects climatological patterns where occasional strong extratropical systems or frontal passages can produce 80-120 mph gusts even in summer, though far less frequently than cold-season nor'easters. Official anemometer records from the 6,288-foot summit, using pitot-static and cup instruments calibrated per National Weather Service standards, will determine resolution, with daily updates and monthly summaries from the observatory serving as primary data releases. Historical analogs indicate August maxima often fall in the 70-100 mph range, creating uncertainty around thresholds like 90-95 mph that hinges on whether any late-month cyclone develops.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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