**National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 102°F in Austin on August 27, with mostly sunny skies giving way to a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** This setup reflects persistent high pressure and typical late-summer heat across central Texas, where afternoon humidity and instability can trigger convection that occasionally limits peak temperatures. Recent model runs and observations show today’s highs near 103-104°F under clearer conditions, setting a warm baseline, while storm timing and coverage introduce the main uncertainty for tomorrow’s maximum. Market-implied odds favoring the 100-101°F bin align with the possibility of convective cooling trimming the peak, while the 102-103°F range captures the official guidance and historical late-August climatology. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through the day will be key for any shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 27?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 27?
100-101°F 42%
102-103°F 27%
98-99°F 14%
96-97°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
27%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 42%
102-103°F 27%
98-99°F 14%
96-97°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
95°F or below
$11 ปริมาณ
1%
96-97°F
$7 ปริมาณ
8%
98-99°F
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
100-101°F
$48 ปริมาณ
42%
102-103°F
$96 ปริมาณ
27%
104-105°F
$279 ปริมาณ
6%
106-107°F
$70 ปริมาณ
2%
108-109°F
$15 ปริมาณ
2%
110-111°F
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
112-113°F
$240 ปริมาณ
<1%
114°F or higher
$206 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 102°F in Austin on August 27, with mostly sunny skies giving way to a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** This setup reflects persistent high pressure and typical late-summer heat across central Texas, where afternoon humidity and instability can trigger convection that occasionally limits peak temperatures. Recent model runs and observations show today’s highs near 103-104°F under clearer conditions, setting a warm baseline, while storm timing and coverage introduce the main uncertainty for tomorrow’s maximum. Market-implied odds favoring the 100-101°F bin align with the possibility of convective cooling trimming the peak, while the 102-103°F range captures the official guidance and historical late-August climatology. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through the day will be key for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$981วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 102°F in Austin on August 27, with mostly sunny skies giving way to a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** This setup reflects persistent high pressure and typical late-summer heat across central Texas, where afternoon humidity and instability can trigger convection that occasionally limits peak temperatures. Recent model runs and observations show today’s highs near 103-104°F under clearer conditions, setting a warm baseline, while storm timing and coverage introduce the main uncertainty for tomorrow’s maximum. Market-implied odds favoring the 100-101°F bin align with the possibility of convective cooling trimming the peak, while the 102-103°F range captures the official guidance and historical late-August climatology. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through the day will be key for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$981วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 102°F in Austin on August 27, with mostly sunny skies giving way to a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.** This setup reflects persistent high pressure and typical late-summer heat across central Texas, where afternoon humidity and instability can trigger convection that occasionally limits peak temperatures. Recent model runs and observations show today’s highs near 103-104°F under clearer conditions, setting a warm baseline, while storm timing and coverage introduce the main uncertainty for tomorrow’s maximum. Market-implied odds favoring the 100-101°F bin align with the possibility of convective cooling trimming the peak, while the 102-103°F range captures the official guidance and historical late-August climatology. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends through the day will be key for any shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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