Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability tied to shifting cloud cover, light winds, and surface heating under spring transitional conditions, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting a narrow range rather than a single consensus value. Historical May averages near 26–28°C provide context, yet recent model runs reflect cooler-than-normal steering patterns that suppress peak heating. Updated forecast releases in the next 24–48 hours could narrow or shift these probabilities as new observational data refines the outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on May 22?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 22?
22°C 31%
21°C 26%
20°C 22%
19°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 22, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
13%
20°C
22%
21°C
26%
22°C
31%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 31%
21°C 26%
20°C 22%
19°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 22, 2026
15°C or below
$106 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$162 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$167 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$127 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C
$121 ปริมาณ
13%
20°C
$101 ปริมาณ
22%
21°C
$176 ปริมาณ
26%
22°C
$297 ปริมาณ
31%
23°C
$94 ปริมาณ
9%
24°C
$110 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C or higher
$105 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability tied to shifting cloud cover, light winds, and surface heating under spring transitional conditions, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting a narrow range rather than a single consensus value. Historical May averages near 26–28°C provide context, yet recent model runs reflect cooler-than-normal steering patterns that suppress peak heating. Updated forecast releases in the next 24–48 hours could narrow or shift these probabilities as new observational data refines the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,561วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability tied to shifting cloud cover, light winds, and surface heating under spring transitional conditions, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting a narrow range rather than a single consensus value. Historical May averages near 26–28°C provide context, yet recent model runs reflect cooler-than-normal steering patterns that suppress peak heating. Updated forecast releases in the next 24–48 hours could narrow or shift these probabilities as new observational data refines the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,561วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability tied to shifting cloud cover, light winds, and surface heating under spring transitional conditions, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting a narrow range rather than a single consensus value. Historical May averages near 26–28°C provide context, yet recent model runs reflect cooler-than-normal steering patterns that suppress peak heating. Updated forecast releases in the next 24–48 hours could narrow or shift these probabilities as new observational data refines the outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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