Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including guidance aligned with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, point to a daytime maximum near 14–15°C in Buenos Aires on August 25 amid late-winter conditions. Persistent high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and variable cloud cover are the main drivers keeping peaks modest while allowing modest diurnal warming. Historical August averages hover around 15–16°C, but onshore maritime influence and limited insolation this week have narrowed the likely range. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 14°C and 15°C because model runs show only small differences in timing of any clearing or wind shift that could tip the exact high by 1°C. Updated ensemble guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution probabilities ahead of official readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25?
15°C 43%
14°C 36%
16°C 13%
13°C 8%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
8%
14°C
36%
15°C
43%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
15°C 43%
14°C 36%
16°C 13%
13°C 8%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
8%
14°C
36%
15°C
43%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including guidance aligned with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, point to a daytime maximum near 14–15°C in Buenos Aires on August 25 amid late-winter conditions. Persistent high pressure, light northeasterly flow, and variable cloud cover are the main drivers keeping peaks modest while allowing modest diurnal warming. Historical August averages hover around 15–16°C, but onshore maritime influence and limited insolation this week have narrowed the likely range. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 14°C and 15°C because model runs show only small differences in timing of any clearing or wind shift that could tip the exact high by 1°C. Updated ensemble guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution probabilities ahead of official readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย