Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum near 5–7°C for Buenos Aires on August 24, driven by mild winter conditions with light northeasterly winds and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 2–4°C versus 8°C or higher because small shifts in overnight cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture can alter minimums by 2–3°C in the region’s variable subtropical-temperate transition zone. Historical August lows average 8–11°C, but recent clear nights have produced readings as low as 4.9°C, keeping lower outcomes competitive while upper bounds reflect the prevailing warmer steering pattern. Updated model runs tonight will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
8°C or higher 68%
4°C 40%
2°C 28%
3°C 28%
-2°C or below
7%
-1°C
12%
0°C
25%
1°C
18%
2°C
28%
3°C
28%
4°C
40%
5°C
25%
6°C
2%
7°C
1%
8°C or higher
68%
8°C or higher 68%
4°C 40%
2°C 28%
3°C 28%
-2°C or below
7%
-1°C
12%
0°C
25%
1°C
18%
2°C
28%
3°C
28%
4°C
40%
5°C
25%
6°C
2%
7°C
1%
8°C or higher
68%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum near 5–7°C for Buenos Aires on August 24, driven by mild winter conditions with light northeasterly winds and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 2–4°C versus 8°C or higher because small shifts in overnight cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture can alter minimums by 2–3°C in the region’s variable subtropical-temperate transition zone. Historical August lows average 8–11°C, but recent clear nights have produced readings as low as 4.9°C, keeping lower outcomes competitive while upper bounds reflect the prevailing warmer steering pattern. Updated model runs tonight will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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