Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show a modest warming trend for Busan on July 15, driven by a strengthening North Pacific high that favors partly sunny intervals between scattered thunderstorms. Elevated humidity and light sea breezes typical of the East Sea coast moderate peaks, yet any earlier-than-expected clearing or reduced rainfall could push afternoon maxima toward 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, while model spread on convective timing creates the observed 45–55 % probability band between the top three outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected from KMA within the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to the official daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on July 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 15?
33°C 40%
34°C 35%
32°C 17%
31°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
17%
33°C
40%
34°C
35%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 40%
34°C 35%
32°C 17%
31°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 15, 2026
27°C or below
$1,236 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$184 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$226 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$195 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$186 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$279 ปริมาณ
17%
33°C
$432 ปริมาณ
40%
34°C
$227 ปริมาณ
35%
35°C
$227 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$374 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C or higher
$81 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show a modest warming trend for Busan on July 15, driven by a strengthening North Pacific high that favors partly sunny intervals between scattered thunderstorms. Elevated humidity and light sea breezes typical of the East Sea coast moderate peaks, yet any earlier-than-expected clearing or reduced rainfall could push afternoon maxima toward 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, while model spread on convective timing creates the observed 45–55 % probability band between the top three outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected from KMA within the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,647วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show a modest warming trend for Busan on July 15, driven by a strengthening North Pacific high that favors partly sunny intervals between scattered thunderstorms. Elevated humidity and light sea breezes typical of the East Sea coast moderate peaks, yet any earlier-than-expected clearing or reduced rainfall could push afternoon maxima toward 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, while model spread on convective timing creates the observed 45–55 % probability band between the top three outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected from KMA within the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,647วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show a modest warming trend for Busan on July 15, driven by a strengthening North Pacific high that favors partly sunny intervals between scattered thunderstorms. Elevated humidity and light sea breezes typical of the East Sea coast moderate peaks, yet any earlier-than-expected clearing or reduced rainfall could push afternoon maxima toward 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels. Historical July averages near 29 °C provide context, while model spread on convective timing creates the observed 45–55 % probability band between the top three outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected from KMA within the next 24 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to the official daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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