Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is tracking toward a daily maximum of 27°C on August 15 under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds that limit convective heating. Long-term August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 27–29°C and minimal deviation expected absent unusual moisture influx. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects convergence across multiple model runs and real-time station data, underscoring low uncertainty for this resolution threshold. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast localized warming could still push readings slightly higher before sunset, though such developments appear improbable given the current synoptic setup.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,891 ปริมาณ
$39,891 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,891 ปริมาณ
$39,891 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$433 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,081 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$3,024 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$5,138 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$14,216 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$8,227 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$4,236 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$2,509 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$313 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$342 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$372 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is tracking toward a daily maximum of 27°C on August 15 under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds that limit convective heating. Long-term August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 27–29°C and minimal deviation expected absent unusual moisture influx. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects convergence across multiple model runs and real-time station data, underscoring low uncertainty for this resolution threshold. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast localized warming could still push readings slightly higher before sunset, though such developments appear improbable given the current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,891วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is tracking toward a daily maximum of 27°C on August 15 under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds that limit convective heating. Long-term August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 27–29°C and minimal deviation expected absent unusual moisture influx. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects convergence across multiple model runs and real-time station data, underscoring low uncertainty for this resolution threshold. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast localized warming could still push readings slightly higher before sunset, though such developments appear improbable given the current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,891วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is tracking toward a daily maximum of 27°C on August 15 under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds that limit convective heating. Long-term August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 27–29°C and minimal deviation expected absent unusual moisture influx. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects convergence across multiple model runs and real-time station data, underscoring low uncertainty for this resolution threshold. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast localized warming could still push readings slightly higher before sunset, though such developments appear improbable given the current synoptic setup.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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