Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 10 will likely peak near 27°C (around 80–82°F) during afternoon hours under clear to mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast winds, though some runs and official station readings suggest a ceiling closer to 25–26°C due to coastal moderation and timing of peak heating. This positioning favors the heavily backed 25°C and 26°C outcomes, which together imply over 95% probability among traders. September climatology shows average highs near 24–25°C, with recent days featuring stable high-pressure patterns and above-normal warmth without strong advection or instability that could push readings higher. Ongoing model consensus and lack of disruptive weather developments reinforce expectations for a modest peak rather than an outlier day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 10?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 10?
25°C 60%
26°C 41%
24°C 1.7%
27°C <1%
$11,897 ปริมาณ
$11,897 ปริมาณ
Sep 10, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
60%
26°C
41%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 60%
26°C 41%
24°C 1.7%
27°C <1%
$11,897 ปริมาณ
$11,897 ปริมาณ
Sep 10, 2026
22°C or below
$605 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$732 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,340 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$3,673 ปริมาณ
60%
26°C
$2,061 ปริมาณ
41%
27°C
$843 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$308 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$287 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$616 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$711 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$721 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 10 will likely peak near 27°C (around 80–82°F) during afternoon hours under clear to mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast winds, though some runs and official station readings suggest a ceiling closer to 25–26°C due to coastal moderation and timing of peak heating. This positioning favors the heavily backed 25°C and 26°C outcomes, which together imply over 95% probability among traders. September climatology shows average highs near 24–25°C, with recent days featuring stable high-pressure patterns and above-normal warmth without strong advection or instability that could push readings higher. Ongoing model consensus and lack of disruptive weather developments reinforce expectations for a modest peak rather than an outlier day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,897วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 10 will likely peak near 27°C (around 80–82°F) during afternoon hours under clear to mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast winds, though some runs and official station readings suggest a ceiling closer to 25–26°C due to coastal moderation and timing of peak heating. This positioning favors the heavily backed 25°C and 26°C outcomes, which together imply over 95% probability among traders. September climatology shows average highs near 24–25°C, with recent days featuring stable high-pressure patterns and above-normal warmth without strong advection or instability that could push readings higher. Ongoing model consensus and lack of disruptive weather developments reinforce expectations for a modest peak rather than an outlier day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,897วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 10 will likely peak near 27°C (around 80–82°F) during afternoon hours under clear to mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast winds, though some runs and official station readings suggest a ceiling closer to 25–26°C due to coastal moderation and timing of peak heating. This positioning favors the heavily backed 25°C and 26°C outcomes, which together imply over 95% probability among traders. September climatology shows average highs near 24–25°C, with recent days featuring stable high-pressure patterns and above-normal warmth without strong advection or instability that could push readings higher. Ongoing model consensus and lack of disruptive weather developments reinforce expectations for a modest peak rather than an outlier day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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