Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and national meteorological services indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 9, 2026, with daytime highs centered on 26–28°C under persistent northeast winds of 10–20 km/h and minimal cloud cover. These patterns, driven by a stable high-pressure system and typical early-September climatology, support moderate diurnal warming without extreme heat or significant cooling. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and steady steering flow, limiting upside deviation above 28°C or sharp drops below 25°C. Market-implied odds favoring 25°C and 26°C reflect traders weighting the lower end of this narrow forecast envelope, consistent with observed recent cooling from late-August peaks and the narrow uncertainty range in short-range numerical guidance ahead of final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
25°C 56%
26°C 30%
24°C 11%
23°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
56%
26°C
30%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
3%
25°C 56%
26°C 30%
24°C 11%
23°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
$154 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$69 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C
$114 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$119 ปริมาณ
11%
25°C
$188 ปริมาณ
56%
26°C
$333 ปริมาณ
30%
27°C
$69 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$81 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$151 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$80 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C or higher
$80 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and national meteorological services indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 9, 2026, with daytime highs centered on 26–28°C under persistent northeast winds of 10–20 km/h and minimal cloud cover. These patterns, driven by a stable high-pressure system and typical early-September climatology, support moderate diurnal warming without extreme heat or significant cooling. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and steady steering flow, limiting upside deviation above 28°C or sharp drops below 25°C. Market-implied odds favoring 25°C and 26°C reflect traders weighting the lower end of this narrow forecast envelope, consistent with observed recent cooling from late-August peaks and the narrow uncertainty range in short-range numerical guidance ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,439วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and national meteorological services indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 9, 2026, with daytime highs centered on 26–28°C under persistent northeast winds of 10–20 km/h and minimal cloud cover. These patterns, driven by a stable high-pressure system and typical early-September climatology, support moderate diurnal warming without extreme heat or significant cooling. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and steady steering flow, limiting upside deviation above 28°C or sharp drops below 25°C. Market-implied odds favoring 25°C and 26°C reflect traders weighting the lower end of this narrow forecast envelope, consistent with observed recent cooling from late-August peaks and the narrow uncertainty range in short-range numerical guidance ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,439วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and national meteorological services indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on September 9, 2026, with daytime highs centered on 26–28°C under persistent northeast winds of 10–20 km/h and minimal cloud cover. These patterns, driven by a stable high-pressure system and typical early-September climatology, support moderate diurnal warming without extreme heat or significant cooling. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and steady steering flow, limiting upside deviation above 28°C or sharp drops below 25°C. Market-implied odds favoring 25°C and 26°C reflect traders weighting the lower end of this narrow forecast envelope, consistent with observed recent cooling from late-August peaks and the narrow uncertainty range in short-range numerical guidance ahead of final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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