Current ensemble forecasts from major models show Istanbul under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling to minimum temperatures of 19–21°C on September 9. This setup favors the closely matched market probabilities around 19–23°C by limiting cloud cover and allowing efficient heat loss after sunset, while the elevated odds on 26°C or higher reflect uncertainty over stronger winds or slight warm advection from the Black Sea potentially raising the low. Historical early-September baselines and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance indicate typical minima near 18–20°C, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any model shifts in the final 48-hour runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
16°C or below 75%
26°C or higher 71%
19°C 28%
21°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
75%
17°C
7%
18°C
5%
19°C
28%
20°C
27%
21°C
28%
22°C
27%
23°C
26%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
71%
16°C or below 75%
26°C or higher 71%
19°C 28%
21°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
$72 ปริมาณ
75%
17°C
$22 ปริมาณ
7%
18°C
$32 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
24°C
$70 ปริมาณ
8%
25°C
$22 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C or higher
$50 ปริมาณ
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models show Istanbul under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling to minimum temperatures of 19–21°C on September 9. This setup favors the closely matched market probabilities around 19–23°C by limiting cloud cover and allowing efficient heat loss after sunset, while the elevated odds on 26°C or higher reflect uncertainty over stronger winds or slight warm advection from the Black Sea potentially raising the low. Historical early-September baselines and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance indicate typical minima near 18–20°C, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any model shifts in the final 48-hour runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$267วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models show Istanbul under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling to minimum temperatures of 19–21°C on September 9. This setup favors the closely matched market probabilities around 19–23°C by limiting cloud cover and allowing efficient heat loss after sunset, while the elevated odds on 26°C or higher reflect uncertainty over stronger winds or slight warm advection from the Black Sea potentially raising the low. Historical early-September baselines and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance indicate typical minima near 18–20°C, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any model shifts in the final 48-hour runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$267วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models show Istanbul under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling to minimum temperatures of 19–21°C on September 9. This setup favors the closely matched market probabilities around 19–23°C by limiting cloud cover and allowing efficient heat loss after sunset, while the elevated odds on 26°C or higher reflect uncertainty over stronger winds or slight warm advection from the Black Sea potentially raising the low. Historical early-September baselines and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance indicate typical minima near 18–20°C, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any model shifts in the final 48-hour runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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