Persistent summer warmth across Shandong province, driven by typical East Asian monsoon conditions and high solar insolation in late August, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 24. Official forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and AccuWeather project daytime maxima of 32–36°C (about 90–97°F), consistent with climatological averages where August highs routinely reach 28–35°C and occasionally exceed 35°C. Recent days have already shown peaks near 35°C amid partly cloudy to thundery conditions. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cold front or widespread heavy precipitation could realistically cap readings below this threshold, though model consensus shows no such development imminent before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jinan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 24?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$8,246 ปริมาณ
$8,246 ปริมาณ
Aug 24, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$8,246 ปริมาณ
$8,246 ปริมาณ
Aug 24, 2026
16°C or below
$1,072 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$1,067 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,067 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,067 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$122 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$122 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$122 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$772 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$122 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$333 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$2,377 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer warmth across Shandong province, driven by typical East Asian monsoon conditions and high solar insolation in late August, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 24. Official forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and AccuWeather project daytime maxima of 32–36°C (about 90–97°F), consistent with climatological averages where August highs routinely reach 28–35°C and occasionally exceed 35°C. Recent days have already shown peaks near 35°C amid partly cloudy to thundery conditions. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cold front or widespread heavy precipitation could realistically cap readings below this threshold, though model consensus shows no such development imminent before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,246วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer warmth across Shandong province, driven by typical East Asian monsoon conditions and high solar insolation in late August, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 24. Official forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and AccuWeather project daytime maxima of 32–36°C (about 90–97°F), consistent with climatological averages where August highs routinely reach 28–35°C and occasionally exceed 35°C. Recent days have already shown peaks near 35°C amid partly cloudy to thundery conditions. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cold front or widespread heavy precipitation could realistically cap readings below this threshold, though model consensus shows no such development imminent before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,246วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Persistent summer warmth across Shandong province, driven by typical East Asian monsoon conditions and high solar insolation in late August, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 24. Official forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and AccuWeather project daytime maxima of 32–36°C (about 90–97°F), consistent with climatological averages where August highs routinely reach 28–35°C and occasionally exceed 35°C. Recent days have already shown peaks near 35°C amid partly cloudy to thundery conditions. Only an abrupt, unforecasted cold front or widespread heavy precipitation could realistically cap readings below this threshold, though model consensus shows no such development imminent before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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